In order to remain on top of the rapid changes in the international environment, the Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of Defence have tasked The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) and the Clingendael Institute to conduct research within the PROGRESS framework, which monitors trends and developments in the international order and presents a risk analysis on the national security of the Netherlands.
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Patrick Willemsen2026-06-30 20:00:002026-07-01 08:27:42Europe’s Strategic Trap: Why Russia’s Sub-Threshold Coercion Is Succeeding and How to Stop It
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Patrick Willemsen2026-04-16 09:57:402026-05-20 10:58:38Reshaping the international legal order: China’s strategic use of lawfare and lessons learned for Europe
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Patrick Willemsen2026-03-26 09:00:202026-03-30 15:50:04Making Russia Fear Escalation Again
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Patrick Willemsen2026-03-24 10:00:002026-03-24 14:18:28Climate Stress and EU Cohesion: Strengthening European Resilience through Climate Adaptation
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Patrick Willemsen2026-02-05 08:00:412026-02-18 14:45:04Lessons from the Jungle for the Zoo: Support Ukraine, Help Ourselves | Key Findings Ukraine Visit
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Patrick Willemsen2026-01-30 13:01:042026-02-18 13:11:33Shields and Spears: Nuclear-Conventional Force Balancing and the European Deterrence Architecture
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-12-02 08:20:002026-01-13 08:53:13Assessing Europe’s Resilience and Preparedness in an Era of Strategic Risks 
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Patrick Willemsen2025-09-09 08:29:282026-02-23 09:53:39Blinded By Bias: Western Policymakers and Their Perceptions of Russia before 24 February 2022
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Patrick Willemsen2025-06-12 08:15:392025-10-15 13:52:58Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO
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Patrick Willemsen2025-03-27 15:20:542025-09-26 14:15:13From the Euronuke to a Nuclear Weapon Free Zone: Europe’s Options in an Era of Eroding American Extended Deterrence
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-03-19 16:52:192025-08-20 09:47:11Guest Paper | Are the West’s Golden Years Over?
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Patrick Willemsen2025-03-12 08:10:472025-09-26 14:15:35Deterring or Spiralling? Emerging Technologies, Strategic Stability, and Prospects for Sino-European Arms Control
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-03-06 11:38:342025-03-25 09:49:26In the Shadows of War: The Impact of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine on Criminal Networks in Eastern Europe
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Patrick Willemsen2025-01-16 13:45:312025-10-23 12:12:25Chaos, Orde en Machtspolitiek: HCSS Strategische Monitor 2025
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Patrick Willemsen2024-11-25 08:00:002024-11-25 09:26:56Notitie | Defensieplanning: Van evenwicht naar keuzes
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Stephanie Govaerts2024-11-14 13:29:582025-08-20 09:51:22Write-up | Navigating Tomorrow: Global Perspectives on Future Security Trends
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Patrick Willemsen2024-11-11 09:15:112025-02-04 11:52:32Twilight of Atlanticism? America’s shifting approaches to Europe
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Patrick Willemsen2024-10-14 09:00:002024-12-04 10:09:04Far Seas, Hard Choices: Aligning Ambitious European Objectives with Capabilities and Coalitions for the Indo-Pacific
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Stephanie Govaerts2024-09-19 15:34:012025-08-20 09:52:14Guest Paper | What divides us? And the impact on democracy and stability
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Stephanie Govaerts2024-09-18 15:29:032025-08-20 09:52:29Guest Paper | A Latin American perspective on the key drivers of future international security trends
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Stephanie Govaerts2024-09-12 15:52:052024-09-19 14:50:17Write-up | Navigating Tomorrow: Transatlantic Outlooks on the Future Security Landscape and its Implications for the Netherlands
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Patrick Willemsen2024-05-30 16:25:522024-06-04 10:19:59Freedom isn’t Free | A cost-benefit analysis of support for Ukraine
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Patrick Willemsen2024-04-22 16:46:552024-04-23 13:57:57Freedom isn’t free | Een kosten-baten analyse van de steun aan Oekraïne
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Patrick Willemsen2024-04-22 16:32:202024-10-10 16:18:06Strategic Dynamics in the Indo-Pacific: Partnership for Maintaining Inclusive and Stable Maritime Region
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Patrick Willemsen2024-04-22 16:26:312024-10-10 16:18:23Debating EU Enhanced Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific: From Maritime Domain Awareness (MDA) to Coordinated Maritime Presence (CMP)
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Patrick Willemsen2024-04-22 16:23:162024-10-10 16:18:37Strategic Communication in the Indo-Pacific: Signalling EU Naval Commitment to the Region
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Patrick Willemsen2024-04-22 16:17:322024-10-10 16:18:57Mixed Messages and the EU’s Indo-Pacific Strategy
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Patrick Willemsen2024-02-13 08:55:242025-02-07 13:33:07De Strategische Monitor 2023 | Barsten en Blokken: Confrontatie en Samenwerking in een Wereld van Wisselende Coalities
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Patrick Willemsen2024-02-05 08:10:002026-01-14 16:29:36Campagnes tegen hybride dreigingen: een handleiding
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Patrick Willemsen2024-01-31 14:00:002024-01-31 14:53:16Germany’s Zeitenwende and the consequences for German-Dutch defence cooperation
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Patrick Willemsen2024-01-30 08:10:002024-02-02 12:18:35Getting Them On Board: Partners and Avenues for European Engagement in Indo-Pacific Maritime Security
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Patrick Willemsen2023-11-20 09:00:002023-11-20 15:27:23What the Indo-Pacific means to Europe: trade value, chokepoints, and security risks
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Patrick Willemsen2023-10-31 16:30:002026-06-30 14:23:27Ukraine’s Counter-Hybrid Campaigns in Cyberspace
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Patrick Willemsen2023-10-31 10:34:412023-12-20 15:05:00Campaigning in the Grey Zone: Towards a Systems Approach to countering Hybrid Threats
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Patrick Willemsen2023-10-31 08:45:002023-11-20 15:30:33Moldova’s Response to Hybrid Attacks: A learning-by-doing Strategy
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login@hcss-site2023-09-13 09:50:412023-09-21 09:56:53Why should Europe guard the Indo-Pacific maritime commons: Order, Access, or US hegemony?
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login@hcss-site2023-05-09 12:25:092025-09-26 14:16:45Pathways to Disaster: Russia’s War against Ukraine and the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation
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login@hcss-site2023-05-02 10:33:242023-09-21 10:01:03A Man-of-War is the Best Ambassador: European Naval Deployments as Costly and Useful Diplomatic Signals
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Patrick Willemsen2023-05-01 08:30:002023-10-31 10:46:30Nederland en Maritieme Veiligheid in de Indo-Pacific regio: van principes naar uitvoerbaar beleid
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login@hcss-site2023-04-25 12:30:002023-10-31 10:46:40Good Fear, Bad Fear: How European defence investments could be leveraged to restart arms control negotiations with Russia 
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login@hcss-site2023-04-18 09:26:132023-04-24 09:53:53Analysis of and Recommendations for European Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific Region
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Patrick Willemsen2023-04-17 10:00:002026-01-14 16:31:44Ten Guidelines for Dealing with Hybrid Threats: A Policy Response Framework
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login@hcss-site2023-04-03 09:08:342023-04-24 09:54:58The French Strategy for the Indo-Pacific and the issue of European cooperation
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Patrick Willemsen2023-03-16 11:30:002025-09-26 14:17:05Dancing In The Dark: The Seven Sins of Deterrence Assessment
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login@hcss-site2023-03-13 09:14:222023-04-24 09:55:09The EU’s Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific: What Is It Worth? 
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login@hcss-site2023-03-08 09:13:142023-04-24 09:55:22Towards a Sustainable and Meaningful European Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific Region: A Southeast Asian Perspective
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login@hcss-site2023-03-06 09:17:572025-09-26 14:17:14Arms Control and Deterrence: The Euromissiles, Then and Now
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login@hcss-site2023-03-01 09:26:242025-09-26 14:17:22Nuclear Command and Control and Strategic Stability
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login@hcss-site2023-02-28 09:23:092023-04-24 09:56:52Tailored, tokenistic, or too much? Assessing the Royal Navy’s presence in the Indo-Pacific
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login@hcss-site2023-02-27 10:55:002025-09-26 14:17:29Future European Contributions to Arms Control: Compete to Negotiate 
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Patrick Willemsen2023-01-16 08:30:002025-09-26 14:10:27Emerging Disruptive Technologies in an Era of Great Power Competition
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Patrick Willemsen2022-12-06 10:07:182024-11-14 15:24:34Not one without the other: realigning deterrence and arms control in a European quest for strategic stability
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-11-24 10:01:002025-02-07 13:34:17Position Paper: Chips, kritieke grondstoffen en Nederlands-Europese economische veiligheid
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login@hcss-site2022-10-19 07:00:002025-02-07 13:34:43Reaching breaking point: The semiconductor and critical raw material ecosystem at a time of great power rivalry
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-10-18 10:01:002023-08-23 14:47:15Wars to come, Europeans to act | A multimethod foresight study into Europe’s military future
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login@hcss-site2022-04-06 10:20:152025-09-26 14:19:32The Promises and Perils of a Minimum Cyber Deterrence Posture: Considerations for Small and Middle Powers 
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login@hcss-site2022-03-28 20:28:002025-02-07 13:39:39Strategic Monitor 2021-2022 | Hanging Together: Partners and Policies for the Netherlands and EU in Turbulent Times
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-24 08:50:002022-11-01 14:58:20Guarding the Maritime Commons | What role for Europe in the Indo-Pacific
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-23 08:30:002023-01-19 11:28:09Multilateralizing Maritime Security in the Indo-Pacific: How Europe can contribute to regional deterrence 
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-14 08:34:512022-11-01 15:02:33It started with a ship… What role for Germany in the Indo Pacific’s security architecture? 
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-10 09:21:572022-11-01 15:02:49Multilateralizing Maritime Cooperation in East Asia: South Korea’s Cautious but Delayed Response
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-09 08:27:472022-11-01 15:03:32Getting Real about the Indo-Pacific: Redefining European Approach to Maritime Security
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-02-21 14:29:072023-01-19 11:24:27Europe’s Role in Promoting US-China Arms Control Cooperation
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-02-17 15:56:372022-11-01 15:03:04Guarding the Maritime Commons – Executive Summary
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-02-17 08:43:052022-11-01 15:03:18European Engagement in the Maritime Security in Indo-Pacific: a Japanese Perspective
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login@hcss-site2022-02-15 15:40:582022-11-01 15:03:56Between AUKUS and the Quad: Scaling European Interest in the Indo-Pacific 
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login@hcss-site2022-02-15 08:29:182025-10-14 15:28:56Shifting Sands of Strategic Stability: Towards A New Arms Control Agenda
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login@hcss-site2022-02-14 14:23:342023-08-23 14:47:51Real and Imagined Challenges to Strategic Stability
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-02-10 10:53:122022-11-01 15:04:13Thucydides Lives in Asia: Power Transition Traps Are Real
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-02-09 11:43:082023-01-19 11:23:24Hard Times For Arms Control: What Can Be Done?
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2021-12-08 13:00:002022-07-01 13:38:22Climate Security in Global Hotspots: Policy Options for The Netherlands
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2021-11-18 09:55:002022-07-15 15:47:55Strategic Alert: National Security Implications of Quantum Technology and Biotechnology
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2021-11-10 15:35:122023-08-23 09:09:35China’s Military Rise and the Implications for European Security
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login@hcss-site2021-10-11 13:22:412025-09-26 14:11:26Red Lines & Baselines: Towards a European Multistakeholder Approach to Counter Disinformation
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login@hcss-site2021-09-23 10:55:002022-07-15 15:22:36Taming Techno-Nationalism: A Policy Agenda
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2021-04-01 12:00:002022-07-13 11:57:11Strategische Monitor 2020-2021: Geopolitieke Genesis
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Patrick Willemsen2021-03-31 09:00:002022-11-07 09:48:12Strategic Alert: Towards a Space Security Strategy
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2021-03-03 09:59:002023-08-23 15:06:47Strategic Monitor 2020-2021 : Geopolitical Genesis
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paula@hcss-site2020-08-20 08:00:002022-07-13 11:28:35De Veiligheidsimplicaties van de Pandemie: De Impact van Covid-19 op Europese Veiligheid
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paula@hcss-site2020-06-15 08:15:032022-07-13 11:17:28De Geopolitieke Gevolgen van de Coronacrisis
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paula@hcss-site2020-05-18 06:30:002022-07-15 15:17:16Strategic Alert: Space
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paula@hcss-site2020-03-25 06:55:002023-08-23 14:18:49Gaat de Coronacrisis de wereld veranderen?
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paula@hcss-site2020-02-20 08:00:002022-10-26 10:36:47A Horizon Scan of Trends and Developments in Hybrid Conflicts set to shape 2020 and beyond
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paula@hcss-site2020-01-28 07:27:182022-10-26 10:35:18Strategic Monitor 2019-2020 – The Writing on the Wall
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paula@hcss-site2020-01-25 11:01:002022-07-13 14:03:57What World do we Live in? An Analysis of Global Geodynamic Trends
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paula@hcss-site2020-01-25 11:00:002022-01-21 09:57:47Methodological Annex: What World do we Live in?
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paula@hcss-site2020-01-24 11:01:002024-02-01 10:18:11The Evolving Position of the Netherlands in the World
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paula@hcss-site2020-01-24 11:00:002024-02-01 10:17:59Methodological Note – The Dutch Foreign Relations Index: Version 2
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paula@hcss-site2020-01-14 11:00:002023-01-06 12:40:29In the Eye of the Beholder? An Assessment of Global Security Perceptions
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paula@hcss-site2020-01-10 11:00:002025-09-26 14:13:27Hybrid Conflict: Neither war, nor peace
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paula@hcss-site2019-12-04 12:00:002023-08-23 14:50:51Military Competition in Perspective: Trends in Major Powers’ Postures and Perceptions
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paula@hcss-site2019-11-19 11:37:482024-11-14 16:40:19Conflict in Cyberspace: Parsing the threats and the state of international order in cyberspace
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paula@hcss-site2019-10-18 10:30:002023-08-23 14:06:47NATO’s Futures through Russian and Chinese Beholders’ Eyes
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paula@hcss-site2019-03-29 14:05:472022-07-12 16:54:31Interregnum
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paula@hcss-site2018-12-20 15:00:002022-07-12 16:50:36Public Goods and Private Tragedies: International Order in the European Periphery
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paula@hcss-site2018-12-20 07:58:052022-01-20 15:07:03A Balancing Act: the Role of Middle Powers in Contemporary Diplomacy
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paula@hcss-site2018-12-20 07:49:162022-01-20 11:40:48Political Violence in the European Periphery
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paula@hcss-site2018-12-14 13:52:052022-01-21 09:55:24Vertical Tensions: Coming Together or Falling Apart? EU Cooperation in Key Policy Areas
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paula@hcss-site2018-12-06 14:00:002024-11-14 15:28:26Threats, Arms and Conflicts: Taking Stock of Interstate Military Competition in Today’s World
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paula@hcss-site2018-10-25 06:30:002022-07-13 13:23:27Global Security Pulse October 2018: Political violence in the ring around Europe
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paula@hcss-site2018-10-24 09:09:002023-08-23 09:11:13The Belt and Road Initiative Looks East
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paula@hcss-site2018-09-27 06:30:002022-07-13 11:08:24Global Security Pulse September 2018: The Crime-Terrorism Nexus
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paula@hcss-site2018-07-26 07:00:002022-01-21 09:52:22Global Security Pulse July 2018: Vertical tensions
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paula@hcss-site2018-06-27 11:04:192022-10-26 10:41:28Global Security Pulse June 2018: General Security Scan (open scan)
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paula@hcss-site2018-06-01 07:06:182022-07-13 14:47:23Global Security Pulse May 2018: Migration and Security
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paula@hcss-site2018-04-25 07:08:512022-07-12 16:45:47Global Security Pulse April 2018: Interstate military competition
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paula@hcss-site2018-04-13 07:20:002022-07-12 16:38:26Strategische Monitor: Stilte voor de Storm?
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paula@hcss-site2017-11-22 11:42:292022-07-12 16:30:52Strategic Alert: Breaking the deadlock – Policy options for dealing with North Korea
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paula@hcss-site2017-10-25 07:14:322022-07-12 16:30:10Progress on UN Peacekeeping reform: HIPPO and beyond
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paula@hcss-site2017-10-19 07:00:002024-09-20 14:29:52Monthly alert: Dutch Foreign Relations Index
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paula@hcss-site2017-09-20 10:38:012022-07-12 16:22:28Strategic Alert: Is India Catching Great Power Assertivitis?
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paula@hcss-site2017-09-18 09:30:262023-08-23 14:14:14Monthly alert: The changing international order: Geodynamics in 2017
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paula@hcss-site2017-09-14 07:30:002022-07-12 16:20:38The rise of Populist Sovereignism: what it is, where it comes from and what it means for international security and defense
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paula@hcss-site2017-08-03 10:00:002023-01-06 12:38:01Monthly Alert August 2017 – Political Violence Alert
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paula@hcss-site2017-07-06 06:58:402022-10-26 10:42:23Monthly Alert: New Security Threats and Opportunities Alert – The Other Side of the Security Coin
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paula@hcss-site2017-06-09 10:30:342022-07-13 14:01:16Monthly Alert: Vital European and Dutch Security Interests
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paula@hcss-site2017-05-19 08:30:002022-07-12 16:19:03Strategic Alert: NATO special meeting of May 25th 2017
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paula@hcss-site2017-05-19 08:30:002022-07-13 14:01:51Strategic Alert: NATO special meeting of May 25th 2017 (NL)
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paula@hcss-site2017-03-23 08:46:472021-07-13 13:05:28Strategische Monitors 2017 gepresenteerd
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paula@hcss-site2017-03-23 08:32:132022-07-12 16:14:46Nationaal Veiligheidsprofiel verdient diepgaande discussie door politiek
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002023-08-23 15:11:36Volatility and Friction in the Age of Disintermediation
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002022-07-12 16:12:51A farewell to the West? Turkey’s possible pivot in the Aftermath of the July 2016 Coup Attempt
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002022-07-12 16:11:54Conflict and Cooperation
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002022-07-12 16:29:24Nowcasting Geodynamics, Great Powers and Pivoting
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002023-08-23 15:11:12A National Identity Crisis? Moldova in flux between East and West
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paula@hcss-site
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002022-07-12 16:27:42The Many Faces of Political Violence
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002022-07-12 16:26:48The rise and fall of ISIS
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paula@hcss-site2017-02-20 14:00:002022-07-12 16:26:17The other side of the security coin
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paula@hcss-site2017-01-31 12:37:462022-07-12 16:43:56Op, neer en zijwaarts. De militaire dimensie van crisismanagement
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paula@hcss-site2016-09-08 08:28:282023-08-23 15:11:59Great Power Assertivitis
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paula@hcss-site2016-07-21 08:13:222022-07-12 15:28:52Better together: towards a new cooperation portfolio for defense
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paula@hcss-site2016-06-24 08:30:002022-07-12 15:27:46Strategic Monitor: The Wheel of Fortune (NL)
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paula@hcss-site2016-06-24 08:30:002023-08-23 15:12:19Strategic Monitor: The Wheel of Fortune
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paula@hcss-site2016-03-31 09:45:092022-07-12 15:26:11Back to the Brink (NL)
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paula@hcss-site2016-03-10 11:00:002023-08-23 15:12:44Back to the Brink
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paula@hcss-site2015-12-17 14:09:192022-07-12 15:24:04Si vis pacem, para utique pacem: individual empowerment, societal resilience and the armed forces
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-24 12:00:002022-07-13 13:59:12Epidemics and Strategic Timing
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paula@hcss-site
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-24 11:45:002022-07-04 14:53:37Epidemics and Strategic Timing (NL)
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paula@hcss-site
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-23 08:00:002023-08-23 14:49:19Pushing the Boundaries
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-23 07:45:002022-07-13 13:57:53Pushing the Boundaries (NL)
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paula@hcss-site
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-18 11:30:002022-07-13 14:11:43Barbarism and Religion: The Return of Holy Violence
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-18 11:15:002022-07-13 13:56:43Barbarism and Religion: The Return of Holy Violence (NL)
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-16 12:00:002023-08-23 14:19:53From Assertiveness to Aggression: Russian Foreign and Security Policy
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paula@hcss-site
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-16 12:00:002023-08-23 14:20:28From Assertiveness to Aggression (NL)
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paula@hcss-site
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-10 15:00:002021-01-26 16:05:21Strategic Monitor: The Return of Ghosts Hoped Past? (NL)
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paula@hcss-site2015-06-10 15:00:002023-08-23 15:13:27Strategic Monitor: The Return of Ghosts Hoped Past?
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paula@hcss-site2015-05-15 07:55:382023-08-23 14:23:16Strategic Wargaming Division
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paula@hcss-site2014-07-09 13:53:482022-07-12 15:12:42Why are Pivot States so Pivotal? The Role of Pivot States in Regional and Global Security
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paula@hcss-site
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paula@hcss-site2014-06-12 15:01:092022-07-13 13:54:52Balancing on the brink: Vulnerability of states in the Middle East and North Africa
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paula@hcss-site2014-05-21 14:51:032023-08-23 15:14:20Strategic Monitor 2014: Four Strategic Challenges
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paula@hcss-site2014-01-20 11:00:002022-07-12 15:05:39Peace and Conflict Across Time
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paula@hcss-site2013-11-14 09:00:002024-05-28 14:46:38De Toekomst in alle Staten
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paula@hcss-site2013-02-08 10:45:512022-07-12 14:53:31Taking the high ground. Toekomstvisie Luchtwapen 2015-2025
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paula@hcss-site2013-02-07 09:26:512024-11-14 15:37:22Taking Care of our Health. Research Tackling Europe’s Grand Challenge of Future Health Issues
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paula@hcss-site2011-10-11 09:00:002022-07-04 09:25:37Op weg naar een Grondstoffenstrategie
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paula@hcss-site2011-05-03 08:45:002022-07-12 14:47:36De Strategische Functie ‘Voorkomen’
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paula@hcss-site2011-04-15 10:00:002024-05-28 14:36:10Issue Brief No. 8 Violent Non-state Actors: Emerging threat to economic infrastructure
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paula@hcss-site2011-04-06 10:00:002022-07-12 14:41:35Issue Brief No. 6 Environment Migration: Security Implication of Climate Change
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paula@hcss-site2010-12-01 08:45:002021-08-04 10:03:54The Role of Small Powers in the Outbreak of Great Power War
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paula@hcss-site2010-09-01 10:00:002022-07-01 14:15:15Resource Scarcity in the 21st century: Conflict or Cooperation
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paula@hcss-site2009-04-14 10:00:002022-07-12 14:31:19Can NATO’s solidarity crisis be fixed: Results and Recommendations of the New Horizons Study
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paula@hcss-site2009-03-20 11:00:002022-07-13 14:09:01Crisisbeheersingsoperaties in fragiele staten, de noodzaak van een samenhangende aanpak
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paula@hcss-site2008-04-01 10:00:002021-08-04 10:13:32Operations Research Support to Force and Operations Planning in the New Security EnvironmentThe Strategic Monitor monitors trends and developments in the international order and presents a risk analysis on the national security of the Netherlands.
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2024-01-30 08:10:002024-02-02 12:18:35Getting Them On Board: Partners and Avenues for European Engagement in Indo-Pacific Maritime Security
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-11-20 09:00:002023-11-20 15:27:23What the Indo-Pacific means to Europe: trade value, chokepoints, and security risks
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-10-31 16:30:002026-06-30 14:23:27Ukraine’s Counter-Hybrid Campaigns in Cyberspace
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-10-31 10:34:412023-12-20 15:05:00Campaigning in the Grey Zone: Towards a Systems Approach to countering Hybrid Threats
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-10-31 08:45:002023-11-20 15:30:33Moldova’s Response to Hybrid Attacks: A learning-by-doing Strategy
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login@hcss-site
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login@hcss-site2023-09-13 09:50:412023-09-21 09:56:53Why should Europe guard the Indo-Pacific maritime commons: Order, Access, or US hegemony?
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login@hcss-site2023-05-09 12:25:092025-09-26 14:16:45Pathways to Disaster: Russia’s War against Ukraine and the Risks of Inadvertent Nuclear Escalation
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login@hcss-site2023-05-02 10:33:242023-09-21 10:01:03A Man-of-War is the Best Ambassador: European Naval Deployments as Costly and Useful Diplomatic Signals
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-05-01 08:30:002023-10-31 10:46:30Nederland en Maritieme Veiligheid in de Indo-Pacific regio: van principes naar uitvoerbaar beleid
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login@hcss-site2023-04-25 12:30:002023-10-31 10:46:40Good Fear, Bad Fear: How European defence investments could be leveraged to restart arms control negotiations with Russia 
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login@hcss-site2023-04-18 09:26:132023-04-24 09:53:53Analysis of and Recommendations for European Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific Region
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-04-17 10:00:002026-01-14 16:31:44Ten Guidelines for Dealing with Hybrid Threats: A Policy Response Framework
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login@hcss-site2023-04-03 09:08:342023-04-24 09:54:58The French Strategy for the Indo-Pacific and the issue of European cooperation
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-03-16 11:30:002025-09-26 14:17:05Dancing In The Dark: The Seven Sins of Deterrence Assessment
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login@hcss-site2023-03-13 09:14:222023-04-24 09:55:09The EU’s Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific: What Is It Worth? 
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login@hcss-site2023-03-08 09:13:142023-04-24 09:55:22Towards a Sustainable and Meaningful European Naval Presence in the Indo-Pacific Region: A Southeast Asian Perspective
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login@hcss-site2023-03-06 09:17:572025-09-26 14:17:14Arms Control and Deterrence: The Euromissiles, Then and Now
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login@hcss-site2023-03-01 09:26:242025-09-26 14:17:22Nuclear Command and Control and Strategic Stability
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login@hcss-site2023-02-28 09:23:092023-04-24 09:56:52Tailored, tokenistic, or too much? Assessing the Royal Navy’s presence in the Indo-Pacific
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login@hcss-site2023-02-27 10:55:002025-09-26 14:17:29Future European Contributions to Arms Control: Compete to Negotiate 
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-01-16 08:30:002025-09-26 14:10:27Emerging Disruptive Technologies in an Era of Great Power Competition
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-12-06 10:07:182024-11-14 15:24:34Not one without the other: realigning deterrence and arms control in a European quest for strategic stability
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-11-24 10:01:002025-02-07 13:34:17Position Paper: Chips, kritieke grondstoffen en Nederlands-Europese economische veiligheid
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login@hcss-site2022-10-19 07:00:002025-02-07 13:34:43Reaching breaking point: The semiconductor and critical raw material ecosystem at a time of great power rivalry
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-10-18 10:01:002023-08-23 14:47:15Wars to come, Europeans to act | A multimethod foresight study into Europe’s military future
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login@hcss-site2022-04-06 10:20:152025-09-26 14:19:32The Promises and Perils of a Minimum Cyber Deterrence Posture: Considerations for Small and Middle Powers 
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login@hcss-site2022-03-28 20:28:002025-02-07 13:39:39Strategic Monitor 2021-2022 | Hanging Together: Partners and Policies for the Netherlands and EU in Turbulent Times
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-24 08:50:002022-11-01 14:58:20Guarding the Maritime Commons | What role for Europe in the Indo-Pacific
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-23 08:30:002023-01-19 11:28:09Multilateralizing Maritime Security in the Indo-Pacific: How Europe can contribute to regional deterrence 
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-03-14 08:34:512022-11-01 15:02:33It started with a ship… What role for Germany in the Indo Pacific’s security architecture?