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The world is slowly but surely accepting the harsh reality of climate change. The science is unified in its judgment: climate change is accelerated by human-caused anthropogenic changes in the atmosphere, leading to rises in temperatures that are unprecedented in our natural historical record. HCSS is launching the Climate and Security Programme (CASP) in response to the urgent and growing need for a better understanding of the geopolitical and other security implications of climate change.
Latest Research
Catch up on our latest research in the field of Climate & Security.
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Patrick Willemsen2021-12-23 09:30:002022-10-26 10:32:57HCSS Annual Report 2021
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Patrick Willemsen2021-12-08 13:00:002022-07-01 13:38:22Climate Security in Global Hotspots: Policy Options for The Netherlands
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login@hcss-site2021-11-25 14:51:462024-09-23 16:27:13Snapshot | India’s Climate Conundrum: Addressing the climate-food-poverty nexus in Odisha province
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Patrick Willemsen2021-06-07 15:28:452022-07-13 11:58:02IMCCS | World Climate and Security Report 2021
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Patrick Willemsen2021-06-03 09:27:242022-07-13 11:57:35The Hague Roundtable on Climate & Security: Building a transatlantic coalition for climate actionAbout the HCSS Climate & Security Programme (CASP)
CASP seeks to bridge the gap between researchers, policymakers and practitioners working on climate-related security challenges in Europe and around the world. Its threefold mission is to:
Develop and operationalize a realist framework and approach to climate action
The HCSS Climate & Security program will analyse the extent to which a realist approach to climate change can support a more coherent, decisive, and entrepreneurial approach towards climate action. Such an approach will need to tap into different, yet highly compelling arguments for action: societal resilience and national security. Moreover, bringing the climate change agenda back to the national level will reinforce existing efforts as successes at local and national level can be scaled and shared to regional/EU and even global agreements.
Raise awareness and understanding about the nexus between climate-related risk, instability and conflict
Climate change is a threat and burden multiplier. The link between climate change and security manifests itself through different pathways depending on socio-economic, political and cultural factors. Fragile nations with weak governmental institutions are less likely to act decisively, let alone pre-emptively, on emerging threats. Extreme weather events and natural and human-made disasters directly impact the quantity and quality of basic resources such as water, food and energy. Scarcity leads to poverty, unrest, displacement, and even conflict.
Provide data-driven assessments and early warning support to policy and decision makers
Data is fundamental to understanding where climate related risks are highest, what the underlying drivers are, and they support the formulation of policy interventions to prevent, prepare and/or mitigate these risks. HCSS works with an experienced team of data scientists that develops early warning tools and causal models that can predict climate-related conflict and supports timely, accurate, data-driven policy recommendations.
CASP Expertise, Products and Services

Climate and Security News
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Patrick Willemsen2025-11-17 10:55:322025-11-17 10:56:37Military and Security Leaders urge Europe to treat Clean Energy as a Defence Priority
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-11-17 10:00:002025-11-12 15:37:48Securing Water, Sustaining Peace: Involving Defence and Security Actors in Addressing the Water Security Nexus
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-10-06 10:02:552025-10-07 12:03:26New WPS Policy Brief | Addressing Water-related Security Challenges in Fragile Settings: Opportunities and Limitations for Defence and Security Actors
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-07-17 16:12:442025-08-20 09:42:26New Paper | Uncovering the Climate–Conflict Link: Mapping the Causal Pathways in Iraq
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Patrick Willemsen2025-07-10 08:15:292025-07-10 08:15:30Press Release | New HCSS Report: Climate Change affects Social Stability in the Netherlands
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Patrick Willemsen2025-07-07 14:00:002025-07-07 14:25:23Persbericht | Nieuw HCSS rapport: Klimaatverandering beïnvloedt maatschappelijke stabiliteit Nederland
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Patrick Willemsen2025-05-28 09:38:392025-08-05 09:39:10Strategisch Vragen | De Strateeg: Hoe belangrijk is klimaat voor militairen zelf?
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Patrick Willemsen2025-05-26 10:00:242025-08-05 09:38:57De Strateeg | Klimaat: van belangrijk thema tot taboe binnen de NAVO
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Patrick Willemsen2025-05-13 10:47:442025-05-13 12:06:12Water Wars | Laura Birkman in South China Morning Post on India-Pakistan conflict
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Patrick Willemsen2025-03-12 14:16:032025-03-12 14:16:04International Conference on Water, Peace and Security 2025: Water as a Catalyst for Peace and Cooperation
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-03-07 15:14:012025-03-07 15:14:57New WPS Policy Brief | Entry-points for Collaborative Water Governance in Southern Iraq
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Stephanie Govaerts2025-01-23 09:00:352025-01-23 11:34:45Laura Birkman joins the Management Team of HCSS!
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Patrick Willemsen2025-01-02 11:00:002025-01-02 16:07:11Pieter-Jan Vandoren | Hoe verstandig zijn de Nederlandse bezuinigingen op ontwikkelingshulp?
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Patrick Willemsen2024-12-20 14:36:582024-12-20 14:36:592024 Year in Review: Water, Peace and Security (WPS) work in southern Iraq
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Patrick Willemsen2024-11-26 13:50:182024-12-02 13:50:40NATO Climate Change and Security Centre of Excellence (CCASCOE) inaugural publication: “Advancing Climate Security Together”
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Stephanie Govaerts2024-11-14 13:48:212024-11-14 13:50:25Write-up | Navigating Tomorrow: Global Perspectives on Future Security Trends
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Patrick Willemsen2024-11-13 10:59:452024-11-13 11:00:12Irina Patrahau | Looking back at the Paris Peace Forum 2024
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Patrick Willemsen2024-10-29 14:08:362024-11-05 10:09:59Laura Birkman | Event: Understanding Climate Violence
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Patrick Willemsen2024-10-11 16:35:272024-10-14 16:35:54WPS Press Release | Second consecutive hottest summer on record increases likelihood of conflict
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Stephanie Govaerts2024-09-19 15:46:232024-09-19 15:48:35Guest Paper | What divides us? And the impact on democracy and stability
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Stephanie Govaerts2024-09-18 15:43:462024-09-19 14:40:04Guest Paper | A Latin American perspective on the key drivers of future international security trends
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Patrick Willemsen2024-09-18 11:07:032024-09-18 11:45:06IFRC and WPS sign MoU for multi-year cooperation addressing water-related conflict and instability
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Patrick Willemsen2024-09-11 08:47:002024-09-18 11:07:58IFRC and WPS launch multi-year cooperation addressing water-related conflict and instability
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Patrick Willemsen2024-08-13 15:11:152024-08-14 08:23:09Water, Peace and Security (WPS) and the World Water Week 2024
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Patrick Willemsen2024-08-07 08:55:002024-08-06 16:24:53New HCSS Snapshot | Developing effective adaptation strategies to water scarcity: Lessons learned from Jordan
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Patrick Willemsen2024-07-10 15:17:482024-07-10 15:17:49IMCCS | World Climate and Security Report 2024: Military Innovation and the Climate Challenge
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Patrick Willemsen2024-06-24 11:00:002024-10-18 10:05:11Webinar: Bonaire, Sint Eustatius & Saba in International Networks: Strategic Partnerships for Sustainable Development
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Patrick Willemsen2024-06-21 11:22:272024-06-21 11:22:58Maarten Vonk at EnPax: 3rd International Conference on Environmental Peacebuilding
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Patrick Willemsen2024-06-04 09:32:282024-06-26 10:01:48HCSS General Internship open for applications (Aug/Sept 2024)
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Patrick Willemsen2024-06-03 14:37:222024-06-13 14:54:33Onderzoeksdag bij Defensie in teken van klimaatveiligheid, space en AI
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Patrick Willemsen2024-05-29 08:00:262024-05-29 08:00:27NL Arms | Cooling the Cauldron: A Climate Security Intervention Framework
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Patrick Willemsen2024-03-25 11:19:572024-03-25 12:57:15Reflections on the WPS MENA training in Amman, Jordan
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Patrick Willemsen2024-03-22 08:00:002024-03-22 14:40:28Water: een bron voor vrede en conflict
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Patrick Willemsen2024-03-20 11:00:002024-03-27 10:14:58Jilles van den Beukel | Gaswinning op de Noordzee
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Patrick Willemsen2024-03-13 14:40:062025-11-11 09:25:20Looking back at the Water, Peace and Security (WPS) Regional Training in Jordan
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Patrick Willemsen2024-02-27 10:15:162024-03-13 10:32:12Water, Peace and Security (WPS) Regional Training in Jordan
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Patrick Willemsen2024-02-15 10:58:232024-02-15 11:03:04The Strategic Monitor 2023 | Cracks and Blocks: Confrontation and Cooperation in a World of Changing Coalitions
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Patrick Willemsen2024-02-13 08:55:292024-02-13 13:54:36Minister van Buitenlandse Zaken Hanke Bruins Slot ontvangt de nieuwe Strategische Monitor van HCSS en Clingendael
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Patrick Willemsen2023-12-25 11:27:492024-01-02 11:54:53Strategische Vragen | De Strateeg: Kunnen landen geo-engineering als strategisch wapen inzetten?
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Patrick Willemsen2023-12-22 13:00:002024-01-10 11:20:56HCSS Annual Report | The Climate Security Nexus
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Patrick Willemsen2023-12-21 13:54:292023-12-21 15:00:42HCSS Annual Report 2023
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Patrick Willemsen2023-12-18 15:00:532023-12-18 16:56:33Book launch | Tom Middendorp: The Climate General
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Patrick Willemsen2023-12-18 11:28:492023-12-18 11:28:50Laura Birkman in De Strateeg: Hoe de klimaatcrisis leidt tot radicalisering en terrorisme
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Patrick Willemsen2023-12-17 11:17:592023-12-18 11:29:04De Strateeg: Hoe een veiligere wereld klimaatverandering kan afremmen
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login@hcss-site2023-11-29 09:30:002023-11-29 11:07:31Theresa Fleitz on academia, policy and the Water, Peace, and Security internship at HCSS
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Patrick Willemsen2023-11-15 16:56:442023-11-16 15:39:38Vacature: HCSS zoekt nieuwe Junior Strategisch Analisten
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-11-03 15:01:002023-11-17 14:40:05Job alert: HCSS is hiring a Junior Strategic Analyst
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Patrick Willemsen2023-11-03 12:00:002023-11-03 15:06:23Job alert: HCSS is hiring a Communications and Events Assistant
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login@hcss-site2023-10-10 12:37:122024-09-20 14:59:27Column Nieuwe Oogst: Als de landbouw te klein wordt, valt er weinig kennis te exporteren
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Patrick Willemsen2023-09-27 13:39:562023-12-18 16:49:46Diplomat Magazine | Summary of the 14th edition of The Hague Roundtable on Climate and Security
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login@hcss-site2023-09-14 11:41:132023-12-18 16:50:35Laura Birkman speaks at The Hague Roundtable on Climate & Security
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Patrick Willemsen2023-08-24 14:18:082024-02-01 10:16:52WPS Quarterly Update | Droughts, floods and heat contribute to conflict risk in Africa, the Middle East and Asia
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login@hcss-site2023-08-16 21:15:002023-07-28 16:34:21Climate and Security: top reads and media mid-year recap
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login@hcss-site2023-07-27 09:15:002023-07-31 10:08:46Out now│The Socio-Political Instability Observer: May 2023
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-07-11 08:39:192023-11-28 13:34:04The Hague Mayor Mr. Jan van Zanen visits HCSS
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Patrick Willemsen2023-06-22 07:55:002023-11-24 13:53:51His Excellency Dr Zambry Abd Kadir, the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Malaysia, visits HCSS
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-05-09 13:20:002023-11-22 13:37:55New Zealand’s Climate Change Ambassador Kay Harrison visits HCSS
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login@hcss-site2023-05-03 15:13:142023-05-03 15:32:41Irina Patrahau to speak at EBN Young Professionals Event on Geopolitics and the energy transition
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login@hcss-site2023-04-12 11:42:282023-04-12 11:42:29Irina Patrahau to speak at Utrecht University Conference on the Weaponization of the Environment
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-04-02 11:01:522023-04-04 12:03:01UN 2023 Water Conference | “Water, War, and Peace” panel
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-04-02 11:01:002023-04-04 16:25:00UN 2023 Water Conference | “Nature-based Solutions for Water and Peace” panel
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-03-31 13:00:002023-04-04 15:25:01Laura Birkman and Irina Patrahau | Looking back at the UN 2023 Water Conference
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-03-29 10:00:002023-03-29 10:58:43Staatssecretaris van Defensie Christophe van der Maat bezoekt HCSS
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Patrick Willemsen2023-03-23 08:30:002023-03-23 10:20:50Rewatch | Webinar: Crowds & Machines, The Next Phase
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-03-10 16:32:222023-03-29 15:18:45UN 2023 Water Conference Session | Water, War, and Peace
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-03-09 14:43:272023-03-10 12:09:06Laura Birkman | ISPI – Le risorse e la loro “Weaponization”
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-02-28 08:30:002023-03-01 15:53:43UN 2023 Water Conference: Online Water and Security Serious Game
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-02-22 14:57:002023-02-27 13:38:31Webinar | Crowds & Machines – The Next Phase
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-02-21 08:25:002023-02-20 13:26:28HCSS: ‘Legers effectiever als ze klimaatbestendig zijn’
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-02-20 08:00:002023-02-17 16:02:38Press release | Resilient and Robust: Climate-Proofing the Military for Increased Military Effectiveness
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-02-15 08:00:002023-02-15 08:18:22New report: Climate-Proofing the Military
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-01-31 10:04:302023-01-31 10:13:31HCSS Internship Program: Data Intern
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2023-01-12 09:01:002023-01-12 09:24:27Richard Nugee joins HCSS as Special Strategic Advisor on Climate Security
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-12-12 09:30:002022-12-12 10:25:02De Strateeg | Strategische Vragen: Is een kleinere klimaattop niet veel effectiever?
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-12-04 14:35:002022-12-06 14:38:07De Strateeg: Hoe Nederland andere landen helpt in de strijd tegen klimaatverandering
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-11-24 15:52:002022-11-30 14:37:03Event | Water, Peace, & Security: New Tools for a New Climate
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-11-22 09:45:092022-11-22 13:33:06IISS launches Armed Conflict Survey 2022 with contribution by HCSS analyst Laura Birkman
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-11-17 10:00:202022-11-17 10:00:22World Bank Report | HCSS research on the climate and security nexus and climate-conflict pathways
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-11-03 13:01:002022-11-11 13:59:27Global Center on Adaptation | State and Trends in Adaptation Report 2022
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login@hcss-site2022-10-03 09:46:472022-11-11 09:34:07Strategische Vragen | Zorgt Rusland voor meer defensie-duurzaamheid?
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login@hcss-site2022-09-25 09:28:002022-09-26 13:56:54De Strateeg: Kan verduurzaming binnen defensie beslissend zijn voor conflicten?
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Patrick Willemsen2022-08-25 14:55:002022-08-25 15:39:04WPS Update: Drought, floods and food insecurity contribute to conflict risk in parts of Africa and the Middle East
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-08-25 14:55:002022-08-25 15:08:33Podcast with Laura Birkman: Iraq and the Water Peace and Security Quarterly Update
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-08-08 11:40:372022-09-02 12:02:31Webinar: Kan klimaatbeleid de energiecrisis oplossen?
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Patrick Willemsen
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Patrick Willemsen2022-07-25 16:35:002022-08-08 09:37:02Amid European Heat Wave, International Military Network Releases Report Warning of Security Risks of Climate Change in the Balkans
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paula@hcss-site2017-01-20 13:23:202024-09-20 15:29:41Export van Nederlandse landbouw expertise biedt kansen voor oplossing klimaatveranderingClimate & Security Experts

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