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As NATO prepares to expand into Sweden, it will be more able to dominate the Baltic Sea not just on and under the surface, but through airpower, says HCSS analyst Frederik Mertens to Newsweek. “In this field, NATO already has an overwhelming advantage: Russia’s Baltic fleet has a serious problem.”
The energy transition will drive demand for critical minerals. While reserves are not limited, supply chains must be diversified to minimise geopolitical risks and avoid a slowdown of the transition, highlights new IRENA report, to which HCSS strategic analyst Irina Patrahau contributed.
The world oil map is being redrawn. What does the global oil market look like a year after the invasion in Ukraine? What are the foreseen trends in the global oil market in the next 10-15 years? HCSS strategic analysts Irina Patrahau and Lucia van Geuns explore how these shifts and market volatility are affecting European industries and their competitiveness, in this article written for the Bulgarian Diplomatic Institute’s Foreign Affairs Research Paper on “Energy and Climate Diplomacy”.
HCSS was honoured to receive the Mayor of The Hague, Mr. Jan van Zanen, for a working visit yesterday. After a warm welcome and introductory meeting with HCSS deputy director Michel Rademaker, director of research Tim Sweijs and director of political affairs Han ten Broeke, the Mayor attended several briefings from our strategic analysts on the latest HCSS research in the field of geopolitics and international security.
“Hoewel Biden een pro-Atlantisch perspectief vertegenwoordigt, is hij de laatste van een generatie. Europeanen moeten dus hun eigen defensie op orde krijgen,” zei HCSS senior strategisch analist Paul van Hooft tijdens een paneldiscussie van de Atlantische Commissie op 29 juni in het Haagse Nieuwspoort. Het evenement, ‘De NAVO in het oog van de storm’, werd georganiseerd naar aanleiding van de grote NAVO-top in het Litouwse Vilnius op 11 en 12 juli.
Oekraïne is behoorlijk succesvol op het gebied van luchtafweer: Russische drones, kruisraketten en andere afgevuurde projectielen worden grotendeels tegengehouden. Maar hoe staat het er voor met Nederland? Zijn wij hier zelf eigenlijk wel toe in staat? Paul van Liempt bespreekt vragen van luisteraars hierover met Luitenant-Kolonel Adrie Batenburg, specialist in Surface Based Air and Missile Defence bij het Land Warfare Centre, en met HCSS strategisch analist Frederik Mertens.
De kans dat Rusland de kerncentrale in Zaporizja wil opblazen is klein, zegt atoomfysicus Wim Turkenburg in podcast Boekestijn & De Wijk bij @BNR. “Vanuit Oekraïense kant, moet ik helaas zeggen, worden er te zware, rampzalige verhalen verteld.”
Nu pas?, dacht ik toen ik hoorde dat China per 1 augustus de export van de metalen germanium en gallium aan banden gaat leggen. Het besluit past in de geopolitieke strijd die Amerika en China voeren, schrijft Rob de Wijk in zijn column voor Trouw. Landen die weinig op hebben met de door ons vormgegeven wereldorde zijn niet te beroerd hun machtsmiddelen tegen het Westen in te zetten.
Norway has found a phosphate deposit that could contain more than 70,000 million tons. As massive as the deposits are, how much of it is economically viable for extraction remains to be seen. Factors such as the proximity of the mineral to the surface or the presence of impurities are decisive in evaluating the true impact of the discovery. “From my point of view, it will take more than five years. Hopefully, before the end of the decade, Norway will be able to start production,” HCSS strategic advisor Jeff Amrish Ritoe states, in an interview with El Confidencial.
Any purging of the highest ranks of the Russian military now will compromise Moscow’s ability to react quickly to Ukrainian operations, says HCSS strategic analyst Frederik Mertens in Newsweek. Ridding a military of politically unreliable elements never increases its efficiency; it not only purges capable officers, but also creates an insidious fear of missteps among those who remain.
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