Defensie staat voor zijn grootste naoorlogse uitbreiding. Na jaren van bezuinigen, willen we eindelijk weer meer in onze veiligheid investeren. Maar dat brengt veel uitdagingen met zich mee.
Niet alle partijen in de Tweede Kamer staan te springen. Waar moet dat geld allemaal aan uit gegeven worden? En lukt het überhaupt wel op tijd om onze defensie op te schalen, met de toenemende dreiging van bijvoorbeeld Rusland?
Paul van Liempt bespreekt de dilemma’s en vragen van luisteraars met staatssecretaris van defensie Gijs Tuinman in deze extra aflevering van BNR podcast De Strateeg.
De Strateeg is een podcast van BNR in samenwerking met het Den Haag Centrum voor Strategische Studies (HCSS). Abonneer je via bnr.nl/destrateeg om geen enkele aflevering te missen.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/De-Strateeg-Gijs-Tuinman-BNR-podcast.png572880Patrick Willemsenhttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngPatrick Willemsen2025-06-04 13:02:522025-06-19 16:17:36Strategische Vragen | De Strateeg: Kunnen we ons wel tegen de Russen op bewapenen?
Can words prevent war? What if deterrence failures are not only about what is threatened, but how those threats are communicated?
In a new report, HCSS strategic advisor Dr. Jeffrey H. Michaels challenges a key blind spot in deterrence thinking: the underappreciated role of language and communication in shaping strategic outcomes. While deterrence theory often focuses on military capabilities and economic threats, Michaels argues that how threats are communicated can be just as decisive as what is threatened.
Through a deep exploration of high-level political statements—both oral and written—it offers practical insights into the communication side of deterrence, a domain often eclipsed by military posturing and sanctions.
Drawing on over a century of case studies, from World War I to the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, the study examines how states and alliances, including NATO, have used (and misused) deterrent language in crisis situations, showing that poor communication can contribute directly to deterrence failure. It sheds light on internal policy debates, the strategic calculus behind warning formulations, and the political risks of sounding either too threatening or too weak.
In the wake of Russia’s aggression, despite repeated and public warnings from NATO and others, a key question remains: why did deterrence fail? Was the message not strong or credible enough—or simply not delivered effectively?
This report offers lessons for NATO as it confronts three ongoing deterrence challenges: preventing further escalation in Ukraine, deterring future Russian aggression post-ceasefire, and defending NATO’s own territory against potential threats. But beyond the current crisis, the findings are applicable to a wide range of geopolitical flashpoints where words can be weapons—or warnings.
Among the key takeaways:
Communication is not optional in deterrence—it is foundational;
The content of a threat matters, but so does clarity, timing, and delivery;
Deterrence warning messages can succeed or fail based on perception, tone, and credibility—not just substance;
Multilateral warnings often lose power through diplomatic compromise and vague language;
Stronger, clearer, and well-timed messages could be the difference between war and peace.
This guide, edited by HCSS research director Tim Sweijs, is essential reading for policymakers, communicators, and security professionals working to improve NATO’s strategic messaging and better understand the power of words in deterrence dynamics. Clear, timely, and credible warning messages can be a cost-effective complement—or even an alternative—to military deterrence.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Deterrence-Warning-Messages-Jeffrey-Michaels.png572880Patrick Willemsenhttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngPatrick Willemsen2025-06-03 08:15:492025-06-03 08:15:50New report | Deterrence Warning Messages: A Short Guide for NATO
The Water, Peace and Security (WPS) partnership was founded in 2018 to pioneer the development of innovative tools and services that help identify and address water-related security risks. WPS is an award-winning initiative that tries to turn the current vicious water-conflict cycle into a more virtuous water-peace cycle. HCSS contributes to WPS engagement in Iraq.
To support WPS work, we are looking for motivated candidates with a particular interest in water-related security issues. As HCSS is leading WPS work in Iraq, knowledge of the Arabic language would be an added bonus. Throughout the internship, successful candidates can contribute to cutting-edge research on various water-related topics; from raising awareness of potential water-related conflicts, and supporting dialogues with Iraqi stakeholders at the local, provincial, and national levels, to organising training modules and workshops that focus on the different elements of the water-security nexus.
Want to know more about the experience of HCSS WPS interns? Look out for the HCSS Internship Blogs entries from current and previous interns!
Requirements
Candidates should have a first rate academic background, strong transferable skills, and a keen interest in the topics covered by HCSS research.
Further requirements include:
A strong basis of analytical, writing and synthesising skills
Ability to think creatively and out-of-the-box
Very good communication skills in English, both orally and in writing.
Knowledge of advanced internet search strategies
Ability to work independently in a fast-paced environment
Flexibility and ability to multi-task
Positive professional attitude
Strong work ethic and willingness to learn
Some quantitative research skills
The following attributes are considered a strong asset:
Prior work or internship experience
Proficiency in Dutch, Arabic or other languages
Being a native English speaker
Quantitative research skills. If you have a background in data science (specifically R or Python) you may also be interested in our Data Internship.
Eligibility
Candidates must be enrolled as a student at a university during the whole internship period.
An internship period of six months is highly preferred, although shorter periods can be discussed (minimum is 5 months). Please indicate your availability in your cover letter. Interns should be able to commit to working 40 hours a week.
If successful in obtaining a position, candidates are asked to provide a certificate of good conduct (‘Verklaring Omtrent het Gedrag’), available from the Dutch Ministry of Justice. Candidates residing outside of the Netherlands should provide a certificate from their country of residence.
Frequently asked questions:
Can I apply if I am no longer a student (recently graduated)? HCSS internships are for enrolled students. Without a proof of enrollment, valid for the entire duration of the internship, you are not eligible. Your application will not be considered.
Is it possible to do a part-time internship? At present, HCSS does not offer part-time data internships within the WPS Internship Program for a work week under 32 hours.
Application Procedure
To apply, send the following items to internship@hcss.nl using ‘WPS Internship /2025’ as the subject line.
A curriculum vitae, including a list of references
A cover letter
Proof of university enrollment, valid for the entire duration of the internship
Copy of official transcript of academic grades
A one-page writing sample (excluding bibliography if relevant) answering the following question: Elaborate on an existing water-related security challenge and provide 2-3 options to manage and mitigate the impact in a country or region at risk.
Notes regarding the application procedure:
Please ensure that your application is complete before sending it in. Providing a list of references with contact details as part of your CV (at least two) is a mandatory requirement- we will not request them at a later stage.
The whole application should be written in English including the writing sample.
Please apply only if you are available for the above mentioned start date. HCSS recruits interns all year around; later start dates will be announced in due time.
Practical Information
The HCSS internship is paid: € 675,- per month. Our internships take place in person at our office in The Hague.
HCSS only considers candidates that submit a complete application and fulfill all eligibility requirements. Successful applicants will be invited for an interview.
At HCSS, we firmly believe in prioritising qualifications and skills when making hiring decisions, without any discrimination based on personal characteristics such as race, religion, gender, age, disability, and sexual orientation.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/wps-internship-1.png572880Stephanie Govaertshttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngStephanie Govaerts2025-06-02 14:09:572025-06-02 14:09:58Water, Peace and Security (WPS) Internship open for applications (start date July/August 2025)
The HCSS internship offers an excellent springboard for future careers in a wide range of fields, interns are involved as full-fledged team members in research-projects. Activities can range from conducting background research, data collection and analysis, co-writing reports and papers, administrative support, to being involved in the organisation of workshops and conferences. This way, interns gain valuable work experience in a professional environment, which helps them in their future development and careers in both the public and private sector. Also, the HCSS internship offers the opportunity to build and expand your professional network.
Want to know more about the experience of HCSS general interns? Look out for the HCSS Internship Blogs entries from our current and previous interns!
Requirements
Candidates should have a first rate academic background, strong transferable skills, and a keen interest in the topics covered by HCSS research.
Further requirements include:
A strong basis of analytical, writing and synthesising skills
Ability to think creatively and out-of-the-box
Very good communication skills in English, both orally and in writing
Knowledge of advanced internet search strategies
Ability to work independently in a fast-paced environment
Flexibility and ability to multi-task
Positive professional attitude
Strong work ethic and willingness to learn
Some quantitative research skills
The following attributes are considered a strong asset:
Prior work or internship experience
Proficiency in Dutch, Arabic or other languages
Being a native English speaker
Quantitative research skills. If you have a background in data science (specifically R or Python) you may also be interested in our Data Internship.
Eligibility
Candidates must be enrolled as a student at a university during the whole internship period.
An internship period of six months is highly preferred, although shorter periods can be discussed (minimum 5 months). Please indicate your availability in your cover letter. Interns should be able to commit to working 40 hours a week.
If successful in obtaining a position, candidates are asked to provide a certificate of good conduct (‘Verklaring Omtrent het Gedrag’), available from the Dutch Ministry of Justice. Candidates residing outside of the Netherlands should provide a certificate from their country of residence.
Frequently asked questions:
Can I apply if I am no longer a student (recently graduated)? HCSS internships are only for enrolled students. Without a proof of enrollment, valid for the entire duration of the internship, you are not eligible. Your application will not be considered.
Is it possible to do a part-time internship? At present, HCSS does not offer part-time data internships within the General Internship Program for a work week under 32 hours.
Application Procedure
To apply, send the following items to internship@hcss.nl using ‘General Internship /2025’ as the subject line.
A curriculum vitae, including a list of references
A cover letter
Proof of university enrollment, valid for the entire duration of the internship
Copy of official transcript of academic grades
A one-page writing sample (excluding bibliography if relevant) answering one of the following questions:
Consider a trend which could affect the security of the Netherlands in the next decade. What is being done to address the issue? What more could be done?
Consider a way in which the Netherlands could exercise more effective foreign policy without increasing military expenditure. What are the advantages and limitations of this approach?
Consider a policy which could help the eurozone improve its competitiveness. What are the advantages and limitations of this policy?
Notes regarding the application procedure:
Please ensure that your application is complete before sending it in. Providing a list of references with contact details as part of your CV (at least two) is a mandatory requirement- we will not request them at a later stage.
The whole application should be written in English, including the writing sample.
Please apply only if you are available for the above-mentioned start date. HCSS recruits interns on a bi-annual basis; later start dates will be announced in due time.
Practical Information
The HCSS internship is paid: € 675,- per month. Our internships take place in person at our office in The Hague.
HCSS only considers candidates that submit a complete application and fulfill all eligibility requirements. Successful applicants will be invited for an interview.
At HCSS, we firmly believe in prioritising qualifications and skills when making hiring decisions, without any discrimination based on personal characteristics such as race, religion, gender, age, disability, and sexual orientation.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/general-internship.png572880Stephanie Govaertshttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngStephanie Govaerts2025-06-02 14:02:402025-06-02 14:02:41HCSS General Internship open for applications (start date in August 2025)
Today, the HCSS Datalab proudly presents the Geopolitical Annual Trade Risk Index (GATRI), a metric developed by HCSS in collaboration with the World Trade Centers Association to quantify the influence of geopolitical developments on global trade. Designed as a practical tool for policymakers and business leaders, GATRI delivers a single, digestible figure that reflects the annual state of geopolitical stability and its impact on international trade dynamics.
GATRI was launched on June 2 by Professor Rob de Wijk and HCSS data scientist Maarten Vonk, during a high-level event with top entrepreneurs at the High Tech Campus in Eindhoven organized by the World Trade Center Netherlands Alliance (WTCNL), the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS), the High Tech Campus and Mikrocentrum.
Watch the explainer video below, or go directly to the GATRI landing page.
In an era in which traditional assumptions about global order no longer hold, GATRI offers a structured way to assess not just the state of the world, but the broader system level forces reshaping the international system. It does so by measuring both the absolute level of geopolitical risk and its volatility—capturing how threatened the system is and how fast it is shifting. The index focuses on the geopolitical climate, rather than reacting to the ‘weather’ of isolated incidents, enabling users to see through the noise and track underlying system dynamics.
GATRI aggregates open-source data across three core domains of global power politics: economic, military, and diplomatic. It includes material indicators like sanctions, military deployments, and trade disruptions, as well as behavioural signals such as diplomatic sentiment and foreign state visits. This multi-domain approach tries to aggregate both the visible actions and the strategic posture shifts that shape the global system over time.
By combining various structured numerical and unstructured textual indicators into a single annual score—indexed to a baseline of 100 in 2024—GATRI provides a yearly snapshot of global geopolitical conditions and relates it to trade. The underlying data is weighted, normalised, and publicly sourced, making the index transparent, verifiable, and accessible. Its strength lies in its dual function: as a high-level risk signal for decision-makers, and as a tool for unpacking the structural shifts driving systemic global instability.
GATRI is updated annually, offering a consistent and comparative reference point over time. An upward shift in the index signals improving geopolitical conditions conducive to trade, while a downward trend indicates rising instability and potential disruptions in the international trade environment.
International trade under pressure in times of geopolitical uncertainty
On Monday, June 2, Professor Rob de Wijk gave a keynote on the geopolitical trends that are increasingly gaining momentum and their consequences for Dutch businesses, at the High Tech Campus in Eindhoven, followed by the official launch of GATRI by HCSS data scientist Maarten Vonk.
Freerk Faber, board member of WTC NL, Europe and World Trade Centers Association, then moderated a high-level panel with industry leaders discussing the risks and opportunities in the new world order, including Gerben Edelijn (Thales Nederland), Peter Berdowski (Boskalis), Maurice Geraets (NXP) and Dirk-Jan Brouwer (Ministry of Economic Affairs).
We invite organizations and governments to discover how GATRI can enhance their strategic planning and decision-making. If you’re interested in accessing the tool or contributing to its development, please reach out to us at datalab@hcss.nl.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/HCSS-Datalab-GATRI-Geopolitical-Annual-Trade-Risk-Index.png572880Patrick Willemsenhttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngPatrick Willemsen2025-06-02 11:30:002025-06-30 14:20:28The HCSS Datalab presents: GATRI, the Geopolitical Annual Trade Risk Index
Defensie staat voor zijn grootste naoorlogse uitbreiding. Wat de NAVO betreft moet Nederland 16 tot 19 miljard extra in defensie steken, bovenop de 22 miljard die het nu al doet. Die nieuwe norm van 5 procent is goed volgens staatssecretaris van Defensie Gijs Tuinman, maar alleen daarmee schrik je Poetin niet af. ‘Poetin wordt niet bang van percentages en budgetten’.
Defensie heeft ook veel meer locaties nodig om uit te breiden. Maar dat brengt veel uitdagingen met zich mee. Niet alle coalitiepartijen staan te springen. En waar moet dat geld allemaal aan uit gegeven worden, en lukt dat wel zo snel?
Al die dilemma’s bespreekt Paul van Liempt in deze speciale aflevering van De Strateeg met Gijs Tuinman.
Staatssecretaris van Defensie Gijs Tuinman heeft er alle vertrouwen in dat Nederland akkoord gaat met een nieuwe NAVO-norm van 5 procent van het bbp. Dat zegt hij in de BNR-podcast De Strateeg. Op de NAVO-top in Den Haag over drie weken moeten de lidstaten het eens worden over de nieuwe norm, die bepaalt dat 3,5 procent van het bbp besteed moet worden aan militaire doelen en 0,5 procent aan gerelateerde logistieke zaken.
Hoewel coalitiegenoten PVV en BBB kanttekeningen plaatsen bij het vijfprocentdoel, maakt Tuinman zelf zich vooralsnog weinig zorgen. ‘Beide partijen hebben geen principiële bezwaren bij die 3,5 tot 5 procent. Wél vinden ze, begreep ik ook van BBB-Kamerlid Henk Vermeer, dat die reservering gepaard moet gaan met de grootse investeringsagenda van Nederland; met alleen spullen voor de krijgsmacht kom je er niet, zegt Vermeer, en daar kan ik me op zich wel in vinden.’
Bij die 5 procent plaatst Tuinman zelf overigens ook nog wel een kanttekening. Het is immers maar de vraag of je de Russische president Vladimir Poetin daarmee voldoende afschrikt. ‘Die wordt niet bang van percentages en budgetten, dus uiteindelijk moet je daadwerkelijk leveren: tanks moeten kunnen rijden, vliegtuigen moeten vliegen en schepen moeten varen.’
Animo voor werken bij Defensie groot genoeg
De uitbreiding van defensie gaat ongetwijfeld hier en daar tot overlast leiden. Toch ziet Tuinman voldoende draagvlak voor een basis op Lelystad Airport, onteigeningen en laagvliegroutes. Hoewel het vinden van voldoende personeel volgens Tuinman een uitdaging blijft, is de invoering van een actieve dienstplicht niet nodig. ‘De animo in de samenleving om bij ons te komen werken is groot genoeg. Er is ook brede steun voor het stationeren van F-35’s, waarbij het eigenlijk gaat om jachtvliegtuigcapaciteit.’
Anders dan voorheen moeten ‘de mannen en vrouwen die in onze helikopters vliegen’ met de huidige dreiging van raketten volgens Tuinman ook laag kunnen vliegen om enige kans van slagen te hebben. ‘Dus moet je meer trainen, en afwisseling hebben in je trainingsgebieden. Door in zoveel mogelijk gebieden laag te vliegen, beperk je de druk en de last voor de mensen, omdat je dat dan kunt spreiden.’ De grote uitdaging blijft volgens Tuinman om voldoende personeel én draagvlak in de samenleving te vinden. Maar over beide is hij positief gestemd.
De Strateeg is een podcast van BNR in samenwerking met het Den Haag Centrum voor Strategische Studies (HCSS). Abonneer je via bnr.nl/destrateeg om geen enkele aflevering te missen.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/De-Strateeg-Gijs-Tuinman-BNR-podcast.png572880Patrick Willemsenhttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngPatrick Willemsen2025-06-02 09:50:172025-06-19 16:17:46De Strateeg | Gijs Tuinman: ‘Poetin wordt niet bang van percentages en budgetten’
Hi Emma, could you introduce yourself? Tell me where you are from, what your educational background is, if you had any prior work experience before your internship at HCSS?
Hi, my name is Emma, and I have been living in The Hague, and more generally, the Netherlands, since September 2024. However, I was born in Assisi, Italy, and I grew up in Rome. I am half Italian and half American, and I have lived and studied in both countries. I went to an all-girls boarding school in Massachusetts, where I developed an interest in law and history. Once I graduated, I felt drawn back to Europe and the European sense of citizenship, which aligned with my view of, well, to put it bluntly, living.
For my bachelor’s studies, I started off doing Political Science and International Relations at the University of Bologna, and then proceeded to do my Master’s in International Relations and Diplomacy, focusing on International Security Policy. During my Master’s, I had two Erasmus experiences: the first at KU Leuven and the second in Brussels.
KU Leuven truly had an impact on me, from my professors to my classes to my awesome housemates. It’s quite impressive how one experience can change the course of your future plans. Speaking to friends and professors, I found an internship for my second Erasmus experience in Brussels. However, as sometimes happens, the internship, which was on European projects, turned out to be not what I expected. Nonetheless, I truly took pleasure in my work there, from drafting white papers to attending EU Hydrogen meetings for future projects.
During this time, I chose to focus on the field in which I had conducted my studies, international relations, and, because of the increased relevance of cyberspace within IR, which was reflected in my internship work, I decided to narrow my field by attending the Cyber Security and Governance program at Leiden University. Because I was looking for practical experience in my field, I decided to apply to HCSS, and so, long story short, here I am!
Can you describe your time as a general intern? What does your day-to-day look like?
My time as a general intern has been quite the whirlwind. I mean this in the most positive way possible—there is never a dull moment! Being a general intern at HCSS is quite unique, as you are immediately immersed in the world of research and writing, something that some internships differ on. Yes, you have kitchen duty, and yes, that means you get to choose the cookies for the cookie jar that week, but overall, you are able to take ownership and responsibility for your work. This truly blew me away when I first started. It did take a bit of getting used to, but it is quite a rewarding feeling.
To give you an example, my typical day ranges from conducting research on Chinese hybrid threats toward medium and small powers in Asia and Europe, to researching the Microsoft Capstone regarding NATO’s interoperability, to co-hosting the Southern Africa–Netherlands Cyber Security School (SANCS) lessons on Microsoft Teams. This last experience was particularly interesting, as I got to meet so many fascinating lecturers and sit in on their explanations of cybersecurity and beyond.
I must say, doing this internship alongside my studies has been a challenge, but the hours I spend in the office are invaluable. I truly recommend this as part of your studies, as you get to keep working on what you would do in the classroom, but in a practical, hands-on manner that has proven extremely useful for my development.
But my days are also so much more than just the work I do. I have lunches with my awesome mentor Laura Jasper, or with my colleagues on the terrace; chats with analysts about the U.S.’s current stance with NATO over the cookie jar in the pantry; and of course, coffee breaks with fellow interns. If I’m being honest, I was a bit worried about the 40-hour work week in the office when I first started, but I love coming into the office and being surrounded by such a great group of people!
So, what initially attracted you to the HCSS internship programme and why did you apply? How did you find out about HCSS?
As I mentioned, I was really looking for a work environment that aligned with my studies in security studies and cybersecurity. HCSS, as a strategic studies research centre and provider of the Southern Africa–Netherlands Cyber Security School (SANCS), really reconciled my past studies while also serving as a springboard for my future career through practical, hands-on engagement. Furthermore, looking through its publications, I got the strong impression that HCSS tackles a broad range of topics, from climate and energy to strategic technologies, which would offer plenty of opportunities to learn about subjects I hadn’t had the chance to explore during my studies. In the long run, this has turned out to be the most fulfilling aspect of my experience at HCSS: the variety of topics I get to work on, gaining practical experience and knowledge in areas I knew very little about at the beginning.
At the same time, I remember reading through previous intern testimonials and really feeling that HCSS was a welcoming environment. Knowing it was a full-time internship, I truly wanted to ensure that the people and the environment would be a good fit for me personally. Today, I can truly say that HCSS, its staff and its facility, is absolutely awesome. From the first day, everyone was extremely welcoming, introducing themselves and offering help when needed. From mentor lunches where you get to try out different local restaurants in the neighborhood, to outings with colleagues, working at HCSS is fun and comfortable, which is incredibly valuable when you’re balancing university work alongside the internship.
Therefore, I am very thankful to have found out about HCSS through my friend and to have applied—this has turned out to be the perfect fit for me, and I hope it will be for you as well!
What advice would you have for future interns that are thinking of applying?
Genuinely, be yourself. I think this is probably the most overstated but hardest advice to follow. Before starting my internship I think I was quite in my head about expectations and how to perform which are normal feelings when you are feeling excited and a bit anxious to start working in a new environment. However, if there is one thing I truly have valued at HCSS is the space you are able to create for yourself and be who you are both in how you express your work and how you express yourself.
HCSS is an amazing environment, and the best way to connect with such vibrant, passionate people is through authenticity. Speak up when you’re interested in a subject, when you have doubts, or when you need help from a fellow intern or analyst. Your voice is always valued. In addition, being yourself in your work is fundamental. It’s what allows you to think critically, explore creative solutions, and contribute meaningfully to original research. In addition, it’s a lot more fun to work with people when you feel at ease and accepted for who you are, so seriously, be yourself and have fun!
This interview was conducted by HCSS Communications & Events Officer, Stephanie Govaerts
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Emma-Genovesi-3.png572880Stephanie Govaertshttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngStephanie Govaerts2025-05-30 14:52:362025-05-30 14:52:38Emma Genovesi on her typical day as a general intern, gaining practical experience and finding her perfect work environment at HCSS
HCSS mourns the loss of Joseph S. Nye Jr., a towering figure in international relations theory, who passed away on May 6 at the age of 88.
Professor Nye leaves behind a profound legacy – both as a scholar and a public intellectual – who fundamentally reshaped how we think about power, diplomacy, and global leadership. Best known for introducing the concept of soft power, Nye offered a compelling alternative to traditional, hard-edged notions of influence.
As Dean of the Harvard Kennedy School, former Assistant Secretary of Defence, and a prolific author, Nye consistently bridged the worlds of theory and practice. His thinking has influenced generations of strategists, diplomats, and policymakers across the globe – including here with us in The Hague.
“It`s hard to overstate how much Joe meant to me, and how deeply I feel his loss,” says HCSS Senior Fellow Dr. Alexander Klimburg, who was previously the Director of the HCSS Cyber Policy and Resilience Program and the Director of the Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace Initiative (GCSC) Secretariat.
Joe was the heart and soul of the Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace. His support was instrumental—not just in shaping the initial proposal but also in helping recruit a remarkable group of Commissioners. It wasn’t just his personal advice on specific issues and personalities that helped; it was his ability to wade into the often messy sausage-making without ever compromising himself or his values.
We’ve collected some of his fellow Commissioners’ responses to his passing:
David KOH: “Joe was a mentor and colleague. I first met him when he was Dean and I was at Harvard for my MPA course. It was an honour to subsequently work alongside him in the international cyber ecosystem. He was a giant of a man; he will be missed.”
Motohiro Tsuchiya: “Joe Nye had huge impacts on me. I met him for the first time in 2001 at an academic conference in San Francisco. I gave him my paper and he read it in a flight returning to Boston and gave me a comment by email. I am still keeping his business card I got in 2001.”
Marietje Schaake: “I share the deep appreciation for Joe as a true gentleman in his work and life. It is indeed a big loss. I continued to see Joe and corresponded with him, and he always spoke about his wife Molly (who passed late last year, 63 years of marriage) and sons. Of all his achievements in life his family was what he looked back on with most pride and joy. Let us all make sure that with Joe’s passing the very idea of soft power does not die as well.”
Khoo Boon Hui: “I had the privilege of first meeting Professor Nye when I was a student at the John F. Kennedy School of Government over 40 years ago. Even then, his clarity of thought, intellectual generosity, and humility left an indelible mark on me. He had that rare ability to combine rigorous analysis with a genuine concern for the world and its people. His concept of “soft power” fundamentally changed how we understand influence and diplomacy, and it continues to shape international relations to this day. Professor Nye was, in every sense, a gentleman and a scholar. His legacy will live on through his contributions to the GCSC, his writings, his students, and people around the world who have been influenced by his ideas and example. Rest in peace, Professor Nye. The world is better because you were in it.”
Bill Woodcock: “It was a pleasure and an honour to serve on the GCSC, and a few other boards, with Joe.”
Sean Kanuck: “Let us pay tribute to a great scholar and wonderful human being! Joe Nye was truly worthy of admiration and emulation. From first meeting him as my college professor for Historical Studies A-12 in the early 1990s to collaborating with him on the Commission, Joe always brought wisdom, intellectual curiosity, kindness, and compassion. Despite his great success and celebrity, he always made time for teaching and his students. He was also both a true patriot and global citizen. I count him as a great mentor and inspiration to help pursue a better world for us all. With great respect and fondest memories … Joe, may you find eternal peace.”
Wolfgang Kleinwächter: “It is such sad news. Joe combined in a unique way academic excellence with political wisdom. His “Soft Power” and “Power Shifts” theories from the early 1990s helped to develop the concept of the multistakeholder approach for the governance of the digital space at the eve of the 21st century. We will miss him.”
Alexander Klimburg: “A dear mentor and friend, Joe Nye inspired us not only with his vision of a world shaped not solely by brute force, but by the soft power of attraction and conviction. He also inspired us with his character. Without a doubt, he was one of the kindest, most thoughtful, and most sincere people I have ever met. Working with Joe in 2014 was one of the most formative periods of my life—and not only intellectually. Observing him engage with others, always with unfailing kindness and thoughtfulness, even amid the harsh realities of elite academia and the national security world, was a masterclass in moral leadership. Joe shared of himself freely and generously. I am profoundly grateful to his family for allowing him to do so. We owe them an immeasurable debt. Thank you for sharing Joe with us. We – and the world – are all the better for it.”
Professor Nye’s work helped shape our understanding of strategic influence in an interconnected world. His intellectual clarity and moral compass served as a guidepost for responsible global engagement, particularly as hybrid threats and shifting power balances challenged the liberal international order he so vigorously defended.
Beyond his academic and policy achievements, Nye will be remembered for his humility, mentorship, and steadfast belief in the power of ideas to create a more just and peaceful world.
We extend our deepest condolences to his family, friends, and colleagues. The international community has lost one of its wisest voices – but his legacy will continue to inform and inspire.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/06/In-Memoriam-Joseph-S.-Nye-Jr.png572880Patrick Willemsenhttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngPatrick Willemsen2025-05-30 11:10:002025-06-02 11:10:38In Memoriam: Joseph S. Nye Jr. (1937–2025) | Architect of Soft Power
Klimaatverandering heeft veel invloed op de wereld. Maar waar het eerst een steeds belangrijker thema werd, ook voor defensie, is het door de terugkeer van president Trump in het Witte Huis weer een taboe geworden binnen de NAVO. In hoeverre zijn de gevolgen van klimaatverandering voor militairen echt belangrijk? En wordt er nu nog wel verduurzaamd door krijgsmachten?
Dat ga je horen in deze aflevering van De Strateeg, waarin Paul van Liempt vragen van luisteraars bespreekt met:
Tom Middendorp, voormalig commandant der strijdkrachten.
Laura Birkman, strategisch analist bij het Den Haag Centrum voor Strategische Studies.
De Strateeg is een podcast van BNR in samenwerking met het Den Haag Centrum voor Strategische Studies (HCSS). Abonneer je via bnr.nl/destrateeg om geen enkele aflevering te missen.
In de hedendaagse ooglogsvoering winnen de ‘Davids’ het steeds vaker van de ‘Goliaths’. Deze ‘democratisering van geweld’ kan een grote bedreiging gaan vormen voor westerse krijgsmachten, zegt HCSS-onderzoeksdirecteur Tim Sweijs in gesprek met Arend Jan Boekestijn en Rob De Wijk. ‘Die hele machtsbalans is flink verschoven, waardoor we niet meer ver weg kunnen opereren zonder dat het ons veld raakt.’
Kleinere ‘krijgsmachten’ hebben steeds meer toegang tot wapens en munitie, zegt Sweijs. ‘Honderd jaar geleden konden de Britten ongestraft het Midden-Oosten bombarderen. Inmiddels hebben de Houthi’s langeafstandsraketten en drones, waarmee ze het internationale scheepsverkeer kunnen ontregelen en Saoedi-Arabië en Israël kunnen raken. Die verschuiving van de machtsbalans is een grote uitdaging voor westerse krijgsmachten.’
Dat betreft volgens Martijn Kitzen, hoogleraar irreguliere oorlogvoering en speciale operaties aan de Nederlandse Defensie Academie, niet alleen raketten die milities kunnen afvuren of aanslagen die ze kunnen plegen, maar ook online beïnvloeding. ‘Op het hoogtepunt van IS werden in Nederland soms 150.000 propagandaberichten per dag gegenereerd via botnets. En dat soort zaken zullen we in de toekomst alleen maar meer zien. Veel middelen zijn vandaag de dag ook toegankelijk voor niet-statelijke groeperingen.
Die toegankelijkheid van allerlei wapentuig en munitie is des te problematischer omdat niet alleen Rusland, maar ook verschillende extremistische groeperingen in het Midden-Oosten goed gedijen bij onvrede in de samenleving over het lokale bestuur. Tien jaar geleden stond IS bij iedereen op het netvlies, maar inmiddels zit de terreurorganisatie steeds meer ‘onder de grond’, zegt Kitzen. ‘Het totale gebrek aan behoorlijk bestuur is één van de belangrijkste factoren die een nieuwe cel van IS in de Sahel populair maakt.’
Een groot probleem is dat het vaak ontbreekt aan een politieke oplossing, die je met diplomatie en ontwikkelingshulp kun verspreiden in conflictgebieden, zegt Kitzen. ‘Je moet wel voor ogen hebben wat die oplossing is. In Afghanistan hadden we daar geen duidelijk beeld van, en dat ontbreekt nu ook nog totaal in verschillende conflicten. Ik hoop dat we inmiddels wel wakker zijn geworden uit onze strategische winterslaap, en dat mensen zich bewust zijn van verschillende scenario’s.’
Sweijs vraagt zich hardop af hoe de NAVO zou reageren op een mogelijk speldenprikje van Poetin in een van de Baltische staten, bijvoorbeeld Estland. ‘Hij kan daarmee proberen de eenheid van het bondgenootschap te testen. En dan ben ik wel benieuwd wat we hier in het Westen doen: stoppen we snel met het helpen van Oekraïne, om het NAVO-bondgenootschap te beschermen? Als dát gebeurt, zijn we eigenlijk terug bij een situatie van 15 december 2021, toen Poetin een ultimatum presenteerde aan de NAVO en de Amerikanen.’
Hoe die vólgende oorlog er dan uit zou kunnen zien? Samen met Martijn Kitzen, hoogleraar aan de Nederlandse Defensie Academie, schreef Sweijs er een boek over: ‘De oorlog van morgen‘ (Uitgeverij Balans) is nu verkrijgbaar in de betere boekhandel.
https://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Boekestijn-en-de-Wijk-BNR-Tim-Sweijs-Martijn-Kitzen-Oorlog-van-morgen.png572880Patrick Willemsenhttps://hcss.nl/wp-content/uploads/2021/04/HCSS_Beeldmerk_Blauw_RGB1200-ppi-e1619025866259-300x300.pngPatrick Willemsen2025-05-26 10:04:012025-05-27 09:54:23Tim Sweijs: ‘Verschuiving van de machtsbalans is een grote uitdaging voor westerse krijgsmachten.’
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