Entries by Patrick Willemsen

Rewatch | Webinar: Crowds & Machines, The Next Phase

How can advanced data technologies like satellite imagery and machine learning support the development of climate change policies? On Wednesday, March 15th, Hans van ‘t Woud (BlackShore), Koen Verberne (52impact) and Laura Birkman (HCSS) took a deep dive into the unique approach developed by the Crowds & Machines consortium that combines game-driven crowd source analytics, machine learning, and strategic analysis. Rewatch the webinar here.

HCSS Datalab paper| Disentangling causality: assumptions in causal discovery and inference

Causality has been a burgeoning field, but for researchers it has been difficult to discern the assumptions they have to abide by in order to glean sound conclusions from causal concepts or methods. In an article published in the Journal of Artificial Intelligence Review, HCSS data scientists Maarten Vonk and Nino Malekovic, together with Thomas Bäck and Anna Kononova of the Leiden Institute of Advanced Computer Science (LIACS), aim to disambiguate the different causal concepts that have emerged in causal inference and causal discovery from observational data by attributing them to different levels of Pearl’s Causal Hierarchy.

Friso Stevens | Deconstructing a more assertive China: How did its foreign policy change?

Since 2009-2010, the West viewed China as more assertive. Especially after Xi Jinping came to power in 2012, the country abandoned Deng Xiaoping’s ‘low profile’ foreign policy. Friso Stevens explains in his dissertation where this change has come from.

New CSP Journal article | Beyond deterrence: Reconceptualizing denial strategies and rethinking their emotional effects

Western strategic thought about denial strategies and their effects is conceptually muddled. In a new article in Contemporary Security Policy (CSP), Tim Sweijs and Samuel Zilincik try to reconceptualize denial and rethink its emotional effects. The authors argue that the expansion of military domains and the renewed emphasis on multi-domain coercion requires us to reconsider the utility of denial strategies with a pair of fresh eyes.

De Strateeg | Strategische Vragen: Kan China zich een grote oorlog wel permitteren?

Amerika, Europa en China zijn de grote machtsblokken van dit moment. Maar wat te denken van Rusland als kernmacht en opkomende landen zoals India? Duidelijk is dat we tegenwoordig in een multipolaire wereld leven. Maar hoe verhouden al die machtsblokken zich tot elkaar? Paul van Liempt bespreekt het in extra ‘De Strateeg’ op BNR met hoogleraar Mathieu Segers en oud-ambassadeur Renée Jones-Bos.

Column Nieuwe Oogst: ‘Landbouw mag niet lijden onder desinteresse in technologie’

‘Voor wat hoort wat.’ Wij sturen landbouwproducten naar China en wij krijgen hun grondstoffen zoals zeldzame aardmetalen waar bijvoorbeeld chips mee geproduceerd kunnen worden, schrijft Rob de Wijk in zijn column voor Nieuwe Oogst. Want China kan zijn eigen bevolking niet voeden. Maar in Frankrijk is er nauwelijks bereidheid van boeren om innovatievere technologie te omarmen,