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Artillery was, and looks to remain, important for land warfare, HCSS strategic analysts Davis Ellison and Paul van Hooft tell Newsweek. According to Kyiv’s military, Russian forces have lost more than 5,000 artillery systems in the almost 18-month-long war, as the Ukrainian counteroffensive eats up artillery supplies on both sides. “Having to restrain itself to not run out of munitions might turn out to be a real problem.”
Nederland moet meer olie en gas uit de eigen Noordzee winnen. Het leunt te veel op import, zegt energie expert Lucia van Geuns in de Telegraaf. Eigen gas en olie zijn goedkoper, de winning steunt de economie en gebeurt hier bovendien met fors minder uitstoot van CO2 dan in bijvoorbeeld Qatar.
Nog dit najaar gaat de gaskraan in Groningen helemaal dicht. Het ministerie van Economische Zaken en Klimaat (EZK) erkent dat dit leidt tot een hoge risico voor de leveringszekerheid, maar het kabinet acht dat risico aanvaardbaar. Dat past in een traditie van het negeren van risico’s voor de betaalbaarheid en leveringszekerheid van gas, schrijven HCSS energie experts Jilles van den Beukel en Lucia van Geuns in NRC.
“The NATO way of land warfare has never been seriously tested against a major state adversary, despite decades of investment and training.” Newsweek spoke with HCSS analysts Davis Ellison and Paul van Hooft about why Ukraine is giving up on some of NATO’s tactics. “It is unsurprising that Ukrainians have given up on some of the Western training as their experience and adaptation under fire trumps Western peacetime concepts. If anything, we have a lot more to learn from the Ukrainians than they can learn from us.”
Hoezeer dat ook tegen ons rechtvaardigheidsgevoel ingaat, het is onverstandig om Rusland niet op te nemen in de internationale orde zodra een staakt-het-vuren is bereikt, aldus Arend Jan Boekestijn in BNR podcast Boekestijn en De Wijk met HCSS defensie expert Patrick Bolder en Rob de Wijk.
Volgens ChatGPT heeft Oekraïne nog eens 300 tanks, 600 gepantserde voertuigen en 1000 artilleriestukken nodig om Rusland te verslaan. Was het maar zo eenvoudig, zegt HCSS defensie expert Peter Wijninga bij BNR: ‘Oorlog is een menselijke onderneming.’
Oekraïne zet een nieuw wapen in tegen de Russen: de zeedrone. De afgelopen dagen sloegen ze er al twee keer mee toe. HCSS defensie expert en specialist op het gebied van autonome systemen Patrick Bolder sprak erover bij onder andere Nieuwsuur en EenVandaag: “De Oekraïeners zenden hiermee twee boodschappen richting de Russen. Ten eerste: geloof maar niet dat je ergens veilig bent voor ons. En ten tweede: geloof maar niet dat je de Zwarte Zee kunt beheersen.”
The sight of Nigeriens waving pro-Putin signs and Russian flags left many in the West feeling uneasy, yet Russia’s presence in Africa is hardly new, writes HCSS subject matter expert Collin Meisel in TIME magazine. If U.S. and European leaders are keen to avoid another repeat of this pattern, they will need to change tack. A business-as-usual mindset will lead to an African continent that is far more closely aligned with Russia and its “no limits friendship” with China than to the West.
Words matter. And the word “enemy” is particularly unhelpful in the context of U.S.-China relations, writes HCSS subject matter expert Collin Meisel in an op-ed for The Hill. A more productive approach is through face-to-face dialogue. Critics might call this approach appeasement. But the reality is that, even if U.S.-China relations were to devolve into open hostilities and officially transform the two states into enemies, communication with an enemy during a conflict is critical for avoiding an escalation spiral.
Great powers, that is states with exceptional political, economic and military power, are embroiled in an intensifying geopolitical competition. A geopolitical crisis in East Asia is likely to have an even greater impact on Dutch prosperity, well-being and security than the war in Ukraine, warns HCSS.
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