Publications

Over the years, HCSS has built up an extensive archive of reports, monitors, papers and other publications. We disseminate the results of our research as broadly as possible to benefit the public good. Use the advanced search functions below to browse through our research library, most of which is available as free PDF downloads.

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Dark Side of the Coin

Monthly Alert: New Security Threats and Opportunities - The Dark Side of the Security Coin

23 Nov 2017
2017 is not over yet, but the year was ridden with alarming push notifications buzzing on our mobile phones. Political events are covered around the clock – from Trump’s Twitter antics to terrorist attacks sowing destruction around the world. In this constant barrage of news, it is easy to get caught up in today’s incidents, […]
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Strategic Alert: Breaking the deadlock - Policy options for dealing with North Korea

22 Nov 2017
The ongoing crisis between the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and the international community represents a textbook case of coercive diplomacy. The international community sought to coerce North Korea to give up its nuclear and missile programs. So far, all efforts failed. The election of Donald J. Trump as President of the United States has […]
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UN Peacekeeping More Effective

Progress on UN Peacekeeping reform: HIPPO and beyond

25 Oct 2017
UN peace operations increasingly find themselves deployed in countries where there is no peace to keep, where insurgencies are ongoing, and where peacekeepers face asymmetric threats. In these environments, UN peace operations are asked to perform increasingly challenging tasks to assist governments and to stabilise countries. This requires adequate UN mandates, as well as appropriate […]
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Dutch Foreign Relations Index

Monthly alert: Dutch Foreign Relations Index

19 Oct 2017
How should the Dutch government prioritize partnerships with other nations? Which countries are strategically important? Which are compatible in terms of shared values? Traditionally, Dutch foreign policy has a dual orientation: the pursuit of Dutch interests on the one hand and the adherence to and promotion of norm-based values on the other. How to handle relationships in a increasingly connected and complex world? HCSS is developing a Dutch Foreign Relations Index (DFRI) as an analytical basis for a framework to provide guidance on this.
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Grote bewegingen, grote impact

Grote bewegingen, grote impact. Eerste verkennende studie naar belangrijke trends en maatschappelijke vraagstukken voor de politie

29 Sep 2017
De politie in Nederland heeft te maken met een snel veranderende omgeving en een dynamische samenleving, waarin nieuwe veiligheidsvraagstukken zich in rap tempo aandienen. Dergelijke vraagstukken staan niet op zichzelf en maken onderdeel uit van een serie mondiale ontwikkelingen waarmee de Nederlandse samenleving wordt geconfronteerd. Om haar koers, positie en inzet in de toekomst vast […]
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India Great power

Strategic Alert: Is India Catching Great Power Assertivitis?

20 Sep 2017
Previous HCSS monitors found India to be significantly less assertive than the other great powers. In our 2016 Great Power Assertivitis study, we even claimed that the subcontinent was the sole exception to the rule that great powers seem to exhibit a quasi-pathological proclivity to throw around their weight in negatively assertive ways. In our […]
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Geopolitics 2017

Monthly alert: The changing international order: Geodynamics in 2017

18 Sep 2017
To many, the world seems to be on fire. A small, newly nuclear-armed authoritarian country is incessantly taunting the world’s sole remaining superpower. That superpower itself is now increasingly seen even by some of its staunchest allies as a “threat to world peace”. Russia’s large military exercise along its Western borders has Europeans on their […]
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Rise of Populist Parties

The rise of Populist Sovereignism: what it is, where it comes from and what it means for international security and defense

14 Sep 2017
This study looks at the foreign and security policies of 17 Populist Sovereignist political parties and analyzes the implications for international security and defense. Populist Sovereignism (PopSov) did not begin with Brexit nor did it end with Marine Le Pen losing the French Presidential election in May 2017. PopSov Parties reject the current political establishment […]
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Energy Transition

Energy transition and demand for raw materials

6 Sep 2017
Energy transition, necessary for the successful implementation of the Paris Agreement and the delivery of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, requires development and large-scale deployment of low-carbon technologies. These will increase global demand for different minerals and metals, what mandates a wide range of adjustments at the state level. The need to re-think, reduce, […]
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Van exporteur naar importeur - de verander(en)de rol van aardgas in Nederland

30 Aug 2017
Na de ontdekking van het Groningen aardgasveld in 1959, het grootste gasveld in West-Europa, is Nederland meer dan een halve eeuw zelfvoorzienend geweest met deze energiebron. Het keerpunt kwam door de aardbeving in Huizinge in de provincie Groningen in augustus 2012 met een kracht van 3,6 op de schaal van Richter. die gebeurtenis heeft geleid […]
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Geo-economic china silk road

A Road to Riches or a Road to Ruin? The Geo-economic Implications of China’s New Silk Road

15 Aug 2017
China’s One Belt One Road (OBOR) project was formally introduced by Chinese President Xi-Jinping in 2013. The project, aimed at integrating trade and investment in Eurasia, encompasses over $900 billion in planned investments of infrastructure across Central and South Asia, the Middle East, and Central and Eastern Europe (CEE). A dedicated forum for cooperation with […]
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Political Violence Alert

Monthly Alert August 2017 - Political Violence Alert

3 Aug 2017
Political violence is real and present. How, why and when political violence manifests itself is crucial for turning early warning into early action. The earlier decision- and policymakers are made aware of the potential for imminent outbursts of violence, the sooner they can act to manage or mitigate the consequences or even deter the occurrence […]
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Other Side of the Coin

Monthly Alert: New Security Threats and Opportunities Alert - The Other Side of the Security Coin

6 Jul 2017
The global commentariat has relentlessly bombarded international op-ed pages with accounts of crises, risks, and global dangers. And this is not without reason: we certainly live in times of great geopolitical upheaval. But we must not lose sight of the other side of the security coin, one that recognizes societal resilience as a counterweight to […]
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Strengthening Stability and Sustainability

4 Jul 2017
The rising demand for natural resources including energy, minerals and agricultural products, has been driven mainly by population growth in developing countries and an improvement in living standards in many countries around the world. Various factors however serve to limit the availability of natural resources. First of all, resources are not equally distributed across the […]
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Dutch and EU Security FI

Monthly Alert: Vital European and Dutch Security Interests

9 Jun 2017
The Vital European and Dutch Security Interests Alert considers key security discourses of principal stakeholders concerning vital European and Dutch security interests. Documents such as the Strategie Nationale Veiligheid, de Internationale Veiligheidsstrategie, Defense Strategy publications, the NATO Strategic Concept and the EU Global Strategy serve as the basis for this Alert. Based on a monthly […]
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NATO Strat Alert

Strategic Alert: NATO special meeting of May 25th 2017

19 May 2017
May 25th marks the first visit of U.S. President Trump to Europe. It will also be the first time the newly-elected U.S. President will attend a NATO gathering. Besides opening NATO’s new headquarters, leaders will discuss NATO’s burden sharing, counterterrorism actions and tense relations with Russia. High on the meeting’s agenda will be the 2% […]
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NATO Strat Alert

Strategic Alert: NATO special meeting of May 25th 2017 (NL)

19 May 2017
De NAVO-Top markeert het eerste bezoek van de Amerikaanse President Trump aan Europa, waar hij ook de pas gekozen Franse President Macron zal ontmoeten. Naast de opening van het nieuwe hoofdkwartier van de NAVO, zullen de leiders spreken over de lastenverdeling binnen de NAVO, de gespannen betrekkingen met Rusland en maatregelen in de strijd tegen […]
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AI and the future of defense

Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Defense

17 May 2017
Artificial intelligence (AI) is on everybody’s minds these days. Most of the world’s leading companies are making massive investments in it. Governments are scrambling to catch up. Every single one of us who uses Google Search or any of the new digital assistants on our smartphones has witnessed first-hand how quickly these developments now go. […]
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Oil and Resources Nexus

The Natural Resources and Security Nexus

3 May 2017
The nexus between natural resources and security needs to be better understood and more closely monitored. Climate change exacerbates environmental challenges and natural resources scarcity which are contributing factors to the onset of political violence both within and between states. A more granular grasp of the dynamics involved in these risk multipliers through the use […]
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Gepolitical Impact Climate Policies FI

The Geopolitical Impact of Climate Mitigation Policies

18 Apr 2017
At the Paris Climate Conference held in December 2015, 195 countries adopted the Paris Agreement – the first universal, legally binding global climate deal. The signatory parties committed themselves to a global action plan that aims to keep global warming to well below 2°C and to limit the global temperature increase to 1.5°C. As part […]
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StratMon 2017

Strategische Monitors 2017 gepresenteerd

23 Mar 2017
Op 20 februari hebben het Den Haag Centrum voor Strategische Studies (HCSS) en Instituut Clingendael hun Monitors gepresenteerd. Beide instituten brengen sinds 2012 jaarlijks hun monitor uit als onderdeel van de Strategische Monitor van de Nederlandse overheid. Bert Koenders, minister van Buitenlandse Zaken, nam de studies namens het kabinet in ontvangst. Rob de Wijk sprak […]
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Nationale Veiligheid Rob de Wijk NCTV

Nationaal Veiligheidsprofiel verdient diepgaande discussie door politiek

23 Mar 2017
In mei 2015 kondigde de minister van Veiligheid en Justitie aan dat de Strategie Nationale Veiligheid (SNV) wordt herijkt. Er werd gekozen voor een nieuwe aanpak waarvan het nieuwe Nationaal Veiligheidsprofiel een belangrijk zichtbaar resultaat is. Dit veiligheidsprofiel is inderdaad een breuk met het verleden en vormt een nieuwe start voor de verdere ontwikkeling van […]
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Cyber as a Domain

Cyber as a domain: concepts and capabilities

22 Mar 2017
During the North Atlantic Council in Warsaw of 8-9 July 2016, NATO declared that its essential mission is unchanged. It was also stated that NATO will ensure that it has the full range of capabilities necessary to deter and defend against potential adversaries and the full spectrum of threats that could confront the Alliance from […]
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Big Data Applications for Security FI

Enabling big data applications for security: responsible by design

17 Mar 2017
There are all kinds of new applications in development today that make increasingly smarter use of Big Data. Take for example the recent announcements that judicial decisions can be predicted by computers. In the security domain there are numerous possibilities to use these technologies too. At the same time the security domain bears the risk […]
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