Publications

Over the years, HCSS has built up an extensive archive of reports, monitors, papers and other publications. We disseminate the results of our research as broadly as possible to benefit the public good. Use the advanced search functions below to browse through our research library, most of which is available as free PDF downloads.

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Cyberstability Paper Series: New Conditions and Constellations in Cyber

9 Dec 2021

Since the release of the final GCSC report in November 2019, the concept of cyberstability has continued to evolve. A number of new ‘conditions’ are emerging: new agreements on norms, capacity building and other stability measures have solidified. The constellation of cyber initiatives is expanding, underlining the need to connect the traditional state-led dialogues with those of the Internet communities. Gaps continue to close, not only between the global north and south and between technology and policy, but also between the stability in and the stability of cyberspace.

Prioritizing Capacity Building as a Foundation for Cybersecurity and Stability

9 Dec 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series.

Routing Without Rumor: Securing the Internet’s Routing System

9 Dec 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series.

The Pro and Contra of an Incidents at Sea Agreement for Cyberspace

9 Dec 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series.

When Internet Governance Meets Digital Cooperation: Navigating IGF Growth and Development in the Context of an Evolving Internet Governance Ecosystem

9 Dec 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series.

Cybersecurity, Internet Governance, and the Multistakeholder: Approach The Role of Non-State Actors in Internet Policy Making

9 Dec 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series.

The Evolution of the UN Group of Governmental Experts on Cyber Issues: From a Marginal Group to a Major International Security Norm-Setting Body

9 Dec 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series. Since the release of the final GCSC report in November 2019, the concept of cyberstability has continued to evolve. A number of new ‘conditions’ are emerging: new […]

Climate Security in Global Hotspots: Policy Options for The Netherlands

8 Dec 2021

What new security risks does climate change bring? And what opportunities does the Dutch government have for international cooperation when addressing the issue? Laura Birkman and Dorith Kool come up with conclusions and recommendations for the most relevant and feasible opportunities for international cooperation on climate-related security.

Strategy and Pitfalls of EU Economic Sanctions

2 Dec 2021

The pandemic has motivated states to move away from liberal trade policy and engage in advanced contracts or introduce legislation that prioritises the domestic market. It also made companies realise that they do not have a full grasp of their production chain – leaving many in sudden supply shortages, when a seemingly irrelevant market introduced a lockdown affecting the industrial output.

Surviving the Deadly Skies: Integrated Air and Missile Defence 2021-2035

1 Dec 2021

European states are facing an increasing threat from missiles and aircraft. Interacting geopolitical and technological trends have both made these weapons more effective and increased the scenarios in which aggressors could find use for them. This underlines the need for better and more integrated air and missile defence (IAMD), conclude Lotje Boswinkel and Paul van Hooft in their latest report.

Snapshot | India's Climate Conundrum: Addressing the climate-food-poverty nexus in Odisha province

25 Nov 2021

In order to prevent, mitigate, and respond to the devastating impacts of climate change, India must come to better grips with the actions it can take at regional and district level. Early warning and early action will be essential. This snapshot by assistant analyst Sneha Mahapatra and senior strategic analyst Laura Birkman explains how the climate-food-poverty nexus in Odisha, one of India’s poorest and most agriculture-dependent regions, may be better managed to build resilience and avert disaster.

Strategic Alert: National Security Implications of Quantum Technology and Biotechnology

18 Nov 2021

What effects do biotechnology and quantum technology have on national security? And how can the Netherlands and the EU leverage emerging technologies to strengthen (inter)national security? Carolina van Weerd and Deborah Lassche (TNO) assess the possible impact of these developing technologies in our latest Strategic Alert.

China’s Military Rise and the Implications for European Security

10 Nov 2021

China is following a typical trajectory for rising great powers in terms of its increasing willingness and ability to project power outside its region. What is the People's Liberation Army capable of today and what will likely be its capabilities by 2035? This new HCSS report makes a broad assessment of China’s military modernization and the implications for the security of European states. The authors provide 20+ policy recommendations to deal with China's military rise both within and beyond the defense realm.

The High Value of The North Sea

8 Nov 2021

As the size, diversity and importance of sea-based assets and activities increase, whether it’s windmills, undersea cables or offshore rigs , so do the entry points for criminal and terrorist actions, and for disturbances and attacks by state actors. As ‘sea’ becomes more like ‘land’, guaranteeing the security of structures and processes in the North Sea warrants more attention, and could potentially necessitate new approaches.

Building a Cyberstability Index

1 Nov 2021

The Cyber Peace Institute has published this report elaborated in partnership with GEODE and The Hague Center for Strategic Studies as part of Working Group 5 of the Paris Call for Trust and Security in Cyberspace.

Armenia and the Future of the South Caucasus

21 Oct 2021

How can the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict be peacefully resolved? This report analyzes the conflict through the lens of conflict theory. In the absence of conflict ripeness, resolution of the dispute remains very unlikely. However, steps can be taken by parties directly and indirectly involved to manage the conflict.

We Lost - But Who Won The War In Afghanistan: Critical Lessons For Future Western Engagement

14 Oct 2021

Looking back: after another Western intervention failure in Afghanistan, the question we may ask is: who actually won America’s Longest War? What lessons did the West learn? And how should these be applied in future security challenges such as the great power competition with China? Read the latest paper by Friso Stevens as he reflects on the Afghan war.

Red Lines & Baselines: Towards a European Multistakeholder Approach to Counter Disinformation

11 Oct 2021

Disinformation continues to exacerbate existing political polarizations with effects ranging from discrediting measures against the COVID-19 pandemic to inciting mass violence against the very institutions of democracy itself.

De afnemende leveringszekerheid van aardgas in Nederland

5 Oct 2021

Met het wegvallen van Groningen is leveringszekerheid van gas geen gegeven meer, met name tijdens krappe gasmarkten. Jilles van den Beukel en Lucia van Geuns doen in deze nieuwe HCSS studie een aantal aanbevelingen hoe de overheid hierop zou kunnen reageren.

Disconnecting from Cyberstability

30 Sep 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series. Since the release of the final GCSC report in November 2019, the concept of cyberstability has continued to evolve. A number of new ‘conditions’ are emerging: new […]

Is There Space for a Digital Non-Aligned Movement?

30 Sep 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series. Since the release of the final GCSC report in November 2019, the concept of cyberstability has continued to evolve. A number of new ‘conditions’ are emerging: new […]

Digital Transformation and Cyberstability: Effects on Economic Development in Africa

30 Sep 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series. Since the release of the final GCSC report in November 2019, the concept of cyberstability has continued to evolve. A number of new ‘conditions’ are emerging: new […]

From Confrontation to Consensus: Taking Stock of the OEWG Process

30 Sep 2021

The Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC) and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies is pleased to announce the launch of the first Cyberstability Paper Series. Since the release of the final GCSC report in November 2019, the concept of cyberstability has continued to evolve. A number of new ‘conditions’ are emerging: new […]

Taming Techno-Nationalism: A Policy Agenda

23 Sep 2021

Sensitive technologies are growing to be more and more closely associated with “European strategic autonomy”. But how do techno-nationalists operate, what can the Netherlands do to protect its sizeable R&D infrastructure from their advances, and to what degree should The Hague look to Brussels for guidance and support?

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