Publications

Over the years, HCSS has built up an extensive archive of reports, monitors, papers and other publications. We disseminate the results of our research as broadly as possible to benefit the public good. Use the advanced search functions below to browse through our research library, most of which is available as free PDF downloads.

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Research Topics

Future Issue: Demographic Shifts

31 Dec 2010
Demographic developments impact many social, economic, ecological, and political aspects of life.
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The Role of Small Powers in the Outbreak of Great Power War

1 Dec 2010
Tim Sweijs published the paper 'The Role of Small Powers in the Outbreak of Great Power War' in the occasional paper series run by the Centre of Small State Studies at the Institute of International Affairs.
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Rare Earth Elements and Strategic Mineral Policy

19 Nov 2010
Newspapers report almost daily on international tensions around ‘strategic’ or ‘critical’ minerals such as rare earth elements.
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The Maritime Future of the Indian Ocean: Putting the G back into Great Power Politics

25 Oct 2010
The Indian Ocean is fast becoming the new center of economic gravity.
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ICT-kwetsbaarheid en Nationale Veiligheid

20 Oct 2010
Elektronische aanvallen en digitale spionage vinden wereldwijd in toenemende mate plaats. Ook in Nederland komt dit steeds meer voor
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Strategy and Change: A Narrative For The Age of Multipolarity

6 Oct 2010
The TNO and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) programme Strategy & Change analyses global trends in a dynamic world affecting the foundations of our security, welfare and well-being. The programme attempts to answer the critical question : what are the policies and strategies that must be developed to effectively anticipate on these emerging challenges?
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Time for Openness: a comparison of public reporting by security services

1 Sep 2010
The role of security services in democratic societies remains a thorny subject. Many policy measures to combat terrorism, extremism and radicalisation are based on classified information.
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Resource Scarcity in the 21st century: Conflict or Cooperation

1 Sep 2010
Oil and natural gas, water, food, and minerals are critical to ensuring our wellbeing and prosperity. Due to expanding economic activities, growing population, and climate change these resources have become increasingly sensitive to higher prices, supply shortages, and export restrictions.
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The Rise of Asia and Strategic Questions for Europe

26 Aug 2010
This report evaluates Asia’s transformation in the field of demographics, resources, economics, science, technology & innovation, political stability and, international relations and international security, while assessing its implications for Europe.
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Pas op de plaats voor Defensie

12 Aug 2010
Based on a recent study the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) advises on the subject of the defense budget.
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Strong in the 21st Century

30 Jul 2010
Our fascination with the future is only surpassed by the difficulty we experience in preparing for it. ‘’Strategy’’ is supposed to straddle these two important elements. It is about anticipating the future and defining some desired future state.
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Schaarste en noodzaak van regie en handelingsperspectief

25 Jun 2010
Schaarste van energiebronnen, grondstoffen, water en voedsel vormt een mogelijke beperking voor de ontwikkeling van de nationale economische groei en welvaart.
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De uitdaging waar Nederland voor staat

10 May 2010
Visie bij de start van het programma Strategy & Change
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Future Issue - Social Networking: the security shakedown of shared information

1 Feb 2010
In recent years, social networks have emerged as popular Web 2.0 applications. In the past year, social networking applications have demonstrated the ability to influence major events.
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The Future of CBRN

1 Jan 2010
HCSS mapped and analysed the debate on the potential future use of chemical, biological, radiological and nuclear (CBRN) materials in the security and safety domain in the next five to fifteen years.
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Navigating the CBRN landscape of 2010 and beyond: towards a new policy paradigm

1 Jan 2010
This report presents the nature and size of CBRN-threats and compares policy approaches.
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Scarcity of Minerals

1 Jan 2010
This report analyses whether minerals will be scarce in the future and what the security and strategic implications will be.
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The Hague Strategic Note: Venezuela and its Impact on Regional Stability

9 Nov 2009
One of the least recognized neighbours of the Kingdom of the Netherlands is the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. At little over 20 kilometres off the coast of Venezuela, Aruba and the Dutch Antillean islands of Curaçao and Bonaire lie a short boat-ride from the Venezuelan mainland. Its leader Hugo Chávez has been a source of concern among Western commentators for some time.
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Towards a Post-American Europe: A Power Audit of EU-US Relations

4 Nov 2009
We are now entering a “post-American world”. The Cold War is fading intohistory, and globalisation is increasingly redistributing power to the Southand the East.
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Venezuela and its impact on regional stability

1 Nov 2009
One of the least recognized neighbours of the Kingdom of the Netherlands is the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela.
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For Effects-based Operations to Effect-based FOrce: On Causality, Complex Adaptive System, and the Biology of War

8 Oct 2009
The author addresses a recent force employment concept called effects-based operations.
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Future Issue: The Arctic

1 Oct 2009
HCSS reviewed over 250 documents and over 100 recent foresight studies pertainingto the future of the Arctic in the period 2025-2050.
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Future Issue: Economic Crises

1 Oct 2009
An analysis of security implications of economic crises finds that:
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Dutch Military Intervention Decision Making Revisited Getting A (Constitutional) Grip On 21st Century Wars.

1 Oct 2009
Definitions of national security and how it should be defended have changed radically over the past two decades. Interpretations have been stretched from a narrow conception of territorial defence of the borders of the homeland to encompass defence against instability far from these borders.
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