Publications

Over the years, HCSS has built up an extensive archive of reports, monitors, papers and other publications. We disseminate the results of our research as broadly as possible to benefit the public good. Use the advanced search functions below to browse through our research library, most of which is available as free PDF downloads.

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Data Diodes Cybersecurity

Understanding the Strategic and Technical Significance of Technology for Security: The Case of Data Diodes for Cybersecurity

28 Aug 2019

This report was commissioned by and executed for the Hague Security Delta. Our society is undergoing a digital transformation. The characteristics of this transformation are determined by the convergence of technologies and social activities that blur the boundaries between physical, digital, and biological systems. Moreover, the speed of this transformation is dizzying. Developments such as […]

Understanding the Strategic and Technical Significance of Technology for Security Implications of AI and Machine Learning for Cybersecurity

28 Aug 2019

This report was commissioned by and executed for the Hague Security Delta. Artificial Intelligence (AI) has made exponential progress in recent years, especially in terms of Artificial Narrow Intelligence (ANI) and machine learning. As the amount of data breaches and cybersecurity incidents grow, AI is increasingly being hailed for its new way to automatically spot […]

Macro Implications AI Geopolitics

Macro Implications of Micro Transformations: An Assessment of AI’s Impact on Contemporary Geopolitics

20 Aug 2019

The threats and opportunities associated with Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies force liberal societies to grapple with a range of fundamental issues, many of which directly affect the existing economic, social, political, and even the security fabrics that underpin the domestic and global orders. From automated production lines to networked drone swarms on to automated mass […]

Climate & Security Game

Climate & Security Strategic Capability Game Takeaways

22 Jul 2019

At the fourth annual Planetary Security Conference (PSC 2019), participants had the opportunity to enrol in the Climate & Security Strategic Capability Game, a serious board game developed jointly by The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) with support from the Clingendael Institute. This briefing note summarises key takeaways coming out of the game. This […]

Global Security Pulse June 2019: Conflict In Cyberspace

2 Jul 2019

The Global Security Pulse (GSP) tracks emerging security trends and risks worldwide, allowing you to stay ahead in new security developments. This month we present novel developments and must-reads on international peace and security in cyberspace. Conflict between states are taking new forms, with cyber operations taking a leading role. In recent years, the risk […]

Geopolitics and Maritime Security

Geopolitics and Maritime Security: A broad perspective on the future capability portfolio of the Royal Netherlands Navy

28 Jun 2019

This report contains the results from a research project aimed at identifying new capabilities for the future Royal Netherlands Navy (RNLN). With the type of naval operations and tasks for the period up to 2030-35 largely enduring, the current “regional power projection” profile of the Royal Netherlands Navy (RNLN) must be strengthened and renewed. We […]

NL EU enlargement

Policy Brief: The Role of the Netherlands in EU Enlargement Processes

5 Jun 2019

EU enlargement campaigns have historically been met with caution in the Netherlands at the policy level and by the Dutch society. Through a historical analysis of periods of EU enlargement, it becomes apparent that the Netherlands has often delayed expansion. Despite this, a balanced approach has tended to prevail in these instances, as processes were merely […]

Interregnum

29 Mar 2019

This synthesis report is part of our Strategic Monitor 2018 – 2019, which monitors trends and developments in the international order and presents a risk analysis on national security of the Netherlands. This is a translation of the original version in Dutch. This report is a summary of the analyses, trends and developments presented in the Strategic Monitor 2018-2019. The end of […]

Energy in Germany

Energy R&D Made in Germany: Strategic Lessons for the Netherlands

20 Mar 2019

HCSS Energy Transition Program releases new report “Energy R&D Made in Germany: Strategic Lessons for the Netherlands.” The Netherlands and Germany are close partners in the energy transition. They share ambitious climate targets and a need to accelerate the energy transition in a cost-effective manner. Written by HCSS Strategic Energy Analyst Jan F. Braun, the […]

Ruimte voor vernieuwing luchtmacht

Ruimte voor Vernieuwing: Capaciteitenontwikkeling van de 5e Generatie Luchtmacht

4 Mar 2019

Dit rapport is het resultaat van een beschouwing over de rollen, taken en ontwikkelingen voor de Koninklijke Luchtmacht voor de komende tien tot vijftien jaar. Veel vervangingsbesluiten voor de luchtmacht zijn recent genomen en moderniseringsprogramma’s zijn in uitvoering of in planning. Dat bepaalt al een groot deel van de toekomstige capaciteiten. Die zullen bestaan uit […]

GSP Military competition

Global Security Pulse February 2019: Interstate Military Competition

28 Feb 2019

The Global Security Pulse (GSP) tracks emerging security trends and risks worldwide, allowing you to stay ahead in new security developments. This month we present novel developments and must-reads on interstate military competition. As geopolitical competition is regaining prominence and technological advancements are proliferating, interstate military competition is picking up. Simultaneously, the international order has […]

Groningen gas: the loss of a social license to operate

12 Feb 2019

In March 2018, the Dutch government decided to stop natural gas production from the Groningen field as soon as the demand for Groningen gas allows. This implies that gas production will stop in 2030 at the latest and that about 500 BcM of gas will be left in the ground. In this paper we give […]

Checklist China

Checklist for Collaboration with Chinese Universities and Other Research Institutions

31 Jan 2019

The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) has worked in close cooperation with the Leiden Asia Centre (LAC) on an extensive study mapping the risks and challenges of academic and research collaboration with Chinese partners. To this end, the LAC and HCSS conducted over 40 interviews with scientists and university staff in the Netherlands and […]

STRATCOM EU South East

The Role of Strategic Communications in Enhancing Resilience and Stability in the EU’s South-Eastern Neighbourhood

23 Jan 2019

The strengthening of the stability of the South-East Europe/Western Balkans (SEE/WB) constituted a specific thematic priority of the Austrian Presidency of the Council of the European Union, which ran from July until December 2018. In this context, experts from EU Member States, the European External Action Service, and SEE/WB convened in Vienna at the occasion […]

Hybrid Conflict New Normal

Hybrid conflicts: The new normal?

22 Jan 2019

Manifestations of hybrid threats are in the news. The general public has become aware, maybe not of the full concept, but certainly of some of the more striking incidents. Institutions like NATO and the EU write policy papers and organize symposia and workshops to discuss it. Government officials warn us about it. But what exactly […]

International Order EU

Public Goods and Private Tragedies: International Order in the European Periphery

20 Dec 2018

In this paper, an analysis is made of the stability of the international order across Europe’s periphery. The purpose is to see to what extent various cornerstones of the international order are under threat: is the Westphalian system failing in the Middle East? Will disputes over water lead to conflict? Specifically, this paper looks at […]

A Balancing Act: the Role of Middle Powers in Contemporary Diplomacy

20 Dec 2018

The notion of Middle Powers is well established in academic literature, but not always used with success in practice. In a volatile world, there is much value in seeking partners that can help to uphold the current international order. In this paper, we develop criteria to define middle powers, and distinguish between ‘established’ middle powers […]

Political Violence Europe

Political Violence in the European Periphery

20 Dec 2018

The European periphery sometimes appears to present an unending series of violent events and sudden upheavals. For policy-makers, this raises questions about what to expect in terms of trends in political violence, their impact on the international order, and how to tackle the underlying causes. In this paper, we analyze trends in political violence and […]

EDF Dutch Participation

European Defence Fund: Challenges and Opportunities for Dutch Participation

17 Dec 2018

Confronted with numerous challenges at home and abroad, European defence is at a turning point. The European Commission has launched various initiatives to boost and strengthen European defence in general and the European Defence Technological and Industrial Base in particular. The European Defence Fund (EDF) constitutes a core element in these efforts. The EDF is […]

Vertical Tensions: Coming Together or Falling Apart? EU Cooperation in Key Policy Areas

14 Dec 2018

The internal cohesion of the European Union (EU) is being tested by both internal and external challenges. These include mass migration, rising populism, a lack of respect for the rule of law, terrorism, and economic and monetary difficulties. These challenges have placed a huge strain on the bonds between EU Member States and has illuminated […]

Threats, Arms and Conflicts: Taking Stock of Interstate Military Competition in Today’s World

6 Dec 2018

This paper by Tim Sweijs and Floris Holstege, part of the Strategic Monitor 2018-2019, conducts an empirical analysis of trends in interstate military competition. It gauges the perceptions and intentions, capabilities, and conflict activities of leading military powers in the international system for the period 2008-2018. The principal conclusion is that interstate military competition is intensifying, and can […]

Vestigingsbeleid Toetsingskader Strategische Veiligheid

Toetsingskader Strategisch Vestigingsbeleid in relatie tot (Nationale) Veiligheid

29 Nov 2018

Nederland heeft er belang bij om bedrijven binnen haar grenzen te halen, samen te werken met buitenlandse ondernemingen of diensten uit te besteden om zo economische toegevoegde waarde te genereren. Voor nationale en regionale overheden en gemeenten is de economische ontwikkeling een topprioriteit waarbij innovatie in een open setting als belangrijk wordt gezien. Tegelijkertijd wordt […]

NATO Nuclear Sharing

NATO Nuclear Sharing and the future of Nuclear Deterrence in Europe

31 Oct 2018

Since the dawn of the atomic age, nuclear deterrence in Europe has been primarily provided by the US, first through bilateral alliances and later within the NATO framework. Within this structure, US tactical nuclear weapons (TNWs) are currently based in the Netherlands (although this has never been confirmed nor denied by The Hague) and four […]

Global Security Pulse October 2018: Political violence in the ring around Europe

25 Oct 2018

The Global Security Pulse tracks emerging security trends and risks worldwide. This month’s edition explores trends identified within the realm of political violence. This Pulse presents new and underappreciated developments regarding the effects of large-scale foreign infrastructure projects, the premature repatriation of refugees, and resource mismanagement on the prevalence of political violence, as well as […]

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