Publications

Over the years, HCSS has built up an extensive archive of reports, monitors, papers and other publications. We disseminate the results of our research as broadly as possible to benefit the public good. Use the advanced search functions below to browse through our research library, most of which is available as free PDF downloads.

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Mobile Access and Social Change: SCANNING EMERGING ISSUES OF THE FUTURE: FOCUS AND METHOD

7 Oct 2011

Over the last two decades there has been a veritable explosion in the proliferation and potential of mobile technologies and services. Technological progress in the field has reduced prices and improved the performance of mobile devices, such as smart phones and tablets. As a result, these devices are now cheaper, lighter and have improved battery life, making them an increasingly integral part of society.

Do it Yourself Biology: SCANNING EMERGING ISSUES OF THE FUTURE: FOCUS AND METHOD

7 Oct 2011

An emerging garage-based scientific movement that could potentially revolutionize science and society is currently gathering momentum as a vehicle for future scientific innovation.

Versterk het Industriële Hart: Clusters in Noord-Brabant (NL)

9 Sep 2011

In het kader van het gezamenlijke programma Strategy & Change hebben TNO en het Den Haag Centrum voor Strategische Studies (HCSS) zich samen met SER-Brabant de vraag gesteld wat de belangrijkste motoren voor Innovatie in Brabant zijn en hoe deze kunnen worden verterkt.

Sustainability in a Multipolar World

18 May 2011

Hardly a week goes by without a news story about the (potential) effects of climate change, mineral scarcity, the loss of tropical forests and biodiversity in general. In an era in which more people than ever live on this planet, enjoying a higher level of consumption too, the overall human impact on the earth’s ecosystem seems to come closer and closer to the limits of the earth’s carrying capacity

De Strategische Functie 'Voorkomen'

3 May 2011

In het project Verkenningen. Houvast voor de krijgsmacht van de toekomst is hetvergroten van het vermogen van Defensie om bij te dragen aan het voorkomenvan conflicten aangemerkt als één van de speerpunten voor de toekomstigeontwikkeling van de krijgsmacht.

Issue Brief No. 9 Drugs, Crime and Terror: A thriving business

16 Apr 2011

Narcotics trade is the leading branch in the transnational crime market and the second largest business worldwide. According to the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) the value of the global cocaine market alone is an estimated $88 billion a year.

Issue Brief No. 8 Violent Non-state Actors: Emerging threat to economic infrastructure

15 Apr 2011

A decade ago, terrorists let the world know that economy matters to them. The choice of the World Trade Center (WTC) as a target of the 9/11 attacks was no co-incidence but a carefully crafted decision by the highest ranking echelons of Al Qaeda (AQ)...

Issue Brief No. 7 Urban Black Holes: The changing face of state failure

7 Apr 2011

This Issue Brief shows how urbanization can set in motion a social dynamic that will severely undermine state control over urban areas. It also highlights some examples to show that this development is already underway.

Issue Brief No. 6 Environment Migration: Security Implication of Climate Change

6 Apr 2011

This Issue Brief looks at the impact of climate change on migration and the implications of environmental migration for migrant receiving and sending societies.

Issue Brief No. 5 Liberal Democracy: Up to the challenge of the 21st century?

5 Apr 2011

With climate change, economic downturn, the rise of new economic giants like China and India, and the transfer of global power to the East, the West faces a set of interrelated challenges...

Issue Brief No. 4 The Resource Scarcity Nexus: Challenges for the 21st Century

4 Apr 2011

The consequences of natural resource scarcity are crystallizing into some of the most complex and urgent issues facing our world in the 21st century.

Issue Brief No. 3 The Global Financial Crisis and the End of the Free Market

3 Apr 2011

The global financial crisis has thrown the global economy into chaos and shattered confidence in the free-market ideology, its ruins visible everywhere...

Issue Brief No.2 The Beijing Consensus: An alternative approach to development

2 Apr 2011

The prospect of rapid economic growth without political liberalization is increasingly gaining popularity among developing countries that oppose the “one-size fits all” approach of the Washington Consensus. This Issue Brief reviews the different components of the Beijing Consensus and the implications for the international political and economic system.

Issue Brief No.1 Dealing with Cyber Security: accept vulnerability

1 Apr 2011

The proliferation of ICT, especially in western societies, has increased dependence on digital systems. Information retrieval, online banking and digital process control systems have been optimised through the use of ICT. The downside to these improvements is that they have made societies vulnerable to cyber attacks.

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century

31 Mar 2011

Conflict remains a central element of la condition humaine. In some regions, traditional forms of conflict have virtually disappeared while in other it remains a fact of everyday life. Yet, there is a growing feeling in many parts of the world that the future nature of conflict may be changing.

Contours of Conflict in the 21st Century – A Cross-Language Analysis of Arabic, Chinese, English and Russian Perspectives on the Future Nature of Conflict (2011)

31 Mar 2011

Hoe ziet het conflict van de toekomst eruit? Zullen conflicten vooral op economisch of op militair gebied worden gevoerd? Zullen soldaten uitgezonden worden naar onherbergzame gebieden ver van huis, of ’s ochtends hun kinderen naar school brengen en dan doorrijden naar een basis van waaruit ze via moderne technologie drone vliegtuigen besturen en oorlogen voeren duizenden kilometers verderop?

Nederlands concurrentievermogen en mondiale krachten

18 Feb 2011

Het regeerakkoord tussen VVD en CDA stelt dat in een open wereldeconomieversterking van het concurrentievermogen van de Nederlandse economieessentieel is. De ontwikkeling en groei van de economie vormen de basisvan onze werkgelegenheid, welvaart en voorzieningen.

The Future of Cybersecurity

3 Feb 2011

Cyberspace is both the playground and the battleground of the future. The use of information and communication technologies (ICT) is expanding across the globe and becoming increasingly central to societies.

Managing Elegant Decline

1 Feb 2011

The advent of a multipolar world is characterized above all by a relative decline of the United States.

Anticipation: A Strategic Function of the Dutch defense organization

18 Jan 2011

To anticipate means to be prepared: knowing what new threats and opportunities may arise in a fast changing environment. But it is just as important to have the organizational agility to take adequate steps, pro-actively as well as reactively, in response to these changes.

Future Issue: Demographic Shifts

31 Dec 2010

Demographic developments impact many social, economic, ecological, and political aspects of life.

The Role of Small Powers in the Outbreak of Great Power War

1 Dec 2010

Tim Sweijs published the paper 'The Role of Small Powers in the Outbreak of Great Power War' in the occasional paper series run by the Centre of Small State Studies at the Institute of International Affairs.

Rare Earth Elements and Strategic Mineral Policy

19 Nov 2010

Newspapers report almost daily on international tensions around ‘strategic’ or ‘critical’ minerals such as rare earth elements.

The Maritime Future of the Indian Ocean: Putting the G back into Great Power Politics

25 Oct 2010

The Indian Ocean is fast becoming the new center of economic gravity.

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