The Socio-Political Instability Observer: September 2024
The fourth edition of the ‘Observer’, analysing the results of the HCSS Socio-Political Instability Survey, continues to monitor high levels of instability in Western Asia and Eastern Europe. Lebanon has displaced Ukraine at the top of the list of countries most at risk of socio-political instability, for the first time in over a year. Russia’s alliances with unconventional partners have led experts to perceive Russia as the most influential country in the next six months. This edition also highlights that military factors have now surpassed economic ones as the primary drivers of instability, likely due to worsening security conditions in Western Asia and across Central, Eastern, and Western Africa.
Standoff-wapens en Stealth-technologie | Israëlische aanval op Iran was een complexe operatie
De Israëlische aanval op Iran – de grootste ooit – was een zorgvuldig geplande en complexe operatie, die stoelde op twee belangrijke ontwikkelingen in de moderne luchtoorlog, leggen Frans Osinga en HCSS defensie expert Peter Wijninga uit in NRC: standoff-wapens en stealth-technologie. „Israël heeft een duidelijke boodschap afgegeven: we kunnen terugkomen wanneer wij dat willen.”
WPS Press Release | Second consecutive hottest summer on record increases likelihood of conflict
July 22 was the hottest day ever recorded by humans and it fell during the second consecutive hottest a (northern hemisphere) summer on record. This unprecedented heat has heightened the likelihood of water-related violent conflict and humanitarian crises, according to the latest analysis from the Water Peace and Security Partnership’s Global Early Warning Tool.