HCSS
  • Home
  • Research
    • Research
      • All Publications
    • Trending Topics
      • China in a Changing World Order
      • Climate & Security
      • Cyber Policy and Resilience
      • Energy & Raw Materials
      • Europe in the Indo-Pacific Hub
      • Hybrid Threats
      • Initiative on the Future of Transatlantic Relations
      • RuBase: Knowledge base on Russia
      • PROGRESS / Strategic Monitor
      • Strategic Stability: Deterrence and Arms Control
    • All Research Topics
      • Defence and International Security
      • Global Power Shifts
      • Governance and International Organization
      • National Security Strategy
      • Technology & Innovation
      • Strategic Monitor
      • Cyber Policy and Resilience
      • The Climate Security Nexus
      • Critical Materials, Minerals and Metals
      • Natural Resources and Food Security
      • Sustainability and the Energy Transition
      • Terrorism Piracy & Crime
      • International Trade and Competition
    • Special Projects
      • Crowds & Machines
      • Energy Storage in Transition
      • Influencing Human Behaviour
      • The Future of European Strategy
      • Global Commission on the Stability of Cyberspace (GCSC)
      • IMCCS
      • Robotic and Autonomous Systems
      • The New Space Era
      • Water, Peace & Security (WPS)
  • News
    • BNR | De Strateeg
    • Columns
    • Events
    • HCSS Digest
    • Podcasts
  • HCSS Datalab
    • Climate Security Risk Monitor
    • Cyber Arms Watch
    • Dutch Foreign Relations Index
  • Services
    • Strategic Capability gaming
    • Studio HCSS
    • Indo-Dutch Cyber Security School
  • About Us
    • Experts
    • Contact
    • Subscribe to our Newsletter
    • Press & Media Inquiries
    • Jobs & Internships
    • Partners & Clients
    • Global Futures Foundation
  • Search
  • Menu Menu

News

New publication: A Comprehensive Strategy to secure Ukraine’s Future

February 22, 2023

As Russia’s war of aggression enters its second year, the Western definition of success must remain the re-establishment of Ukraine as a secure and sovereign European democracy with all the rights and responsibilities that entails.  The critical issue the TAG Ukraine Strategy 2023 (the Strategy) thus addresses is the scope and extent of Western support required to reinforce that goal across the diplomatic, informational, military and economic domains. For the purpose of the Strategy, “the West” encompasses the Euro-Atlantic Community and those members of the G7 and beyond, such as Australia, Japan and South Korea, the policies of which are largely aligned.

Download Ukraine Strategy (PDF)

Specific aims are threefold:

  • to bring the war to an end on terms acceptable to Kyiv that deny the Russians the fruits of aggression and ensure that Russia does not invade Ukraine again;
  • to restore Ukraine as an independent state in full control of its internationally-recognized borders, with the capability to deter and defeat any further Russian aggression; and thereby
  • to demonstrate to any potential aggressors that the democratic nations will defend the rules-based international order.

2023 will be the decisive year of the Russian-Ukraine war. The prospect of a total Russian victory that would see the complete dismemberment of an independent Ukrainian state, although by no means impossible, seems remote. However, Ukraine will only prevail with sustained and extensive Western support.

Continued Ukrainian advances and recovery of still-occupied territory cannot be assumed and Russia may have sufficient capability to repel Ukrainian offensives and force a stalemate. Russia enjoys far more strategic depth and industrial capacity than Ukraine which is precisely the reason why Western support remains indispensable. 

Beyond the future of Ukraine, what is also at stake in the war is the West’s capacity to shape its strategic environment and shape the European security order on its own terms in a way that upholds the principles of the rules-based international order established following World War II. All and any collective action will involve risk.

A new European security system will be needed in order to restore respect for the principles of international law that Russia has violated and, over time, to lay the basis for a new relationship with Russia, whatever the outcome of the war. And, in the short term, it will also be indispensable in order to maintain a sufficient level of support from Western public opinion.

The Alphen Group, February 2023

  • Share on Facebook
  • Share on Twitter
  • Share on WhatsApp
  • Share on LinkedIn
  • Share by Mail

Experts

Rob de Wijk

Related News

Related Content

  1. Nieuw rapport: Hoe moet Rusland worden afgeschrikt?
  2. New paper | Lessons from land warfare: One year of war in Ukraine
  3. New Snapshot: Preventing the (Un)thinkable: Escalation Scenarios and Risk Reduction Measures for Russia and NATO following the War in Ukraine

Office Address

  • The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
  • Lange Voorhout 1
  • 2514 EA The Hague
  • The Netherlands

Contact Us

  • Telephone: +31(70) 318 48 40
  • E-mail: info@hcss.nl
  • IBAN NL10INGB0666328730
  • BIC INGBNL2A
  • VAT NL.8101.32.436.B01
  • Contact

Legal & Privacy

  • Disclaimer & Privacy
  • Terms & Conditions (NL) 
  • Terms & Conditions (ENG) 
  • Coordinated Vulnerability Disclosure

Follow us

© The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
    Nieuwsuur | Paul van Hooft: “Het is waarschijnlijk bluf, maar wel hele...Webinar | Crowds & Machines – The Next Phase
    Scroll to top

    GDPR Consent

    Your privacy is important to us. Here you can set which consent you are allowing us with regards to the collection of general information, the placing of cookies of the collection of personal information. You can click 'Forget my settings' at the bottom of this form to revoke all given consents.

    Privacy policy | Close
    Settings

    GDPR Consent Settings

    Your privacy is important to us. Here you can set which consent you are allowing us with regards to the collection of general information, the placing of cookies of the collection of personal information. You can click 'Forget my settings' at the bottom of this form to revoke all given consents.

    Website statistics collect anonymized information about how the site is used. This information is used to optimize the website and to ensure an optimal user experience.

    View details

    Functional cookies are used to ensure the website works properly and are neccessary to make the site function. These cookies do not collect any personal data.  

    View details
    Forget my settings Deleted!