We are proud to announce that the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office has awarded HCCS a grant from the Global Security Rapid Analysis Fund for our research proposal, The Climate Change Security Nexus: Understanding the Pathways that Lead to Violent Conflict.
While it’s widely acknowledged by academics and policymakers that climate plays a part in conflict dynamics, but the causal relationships are more unclear. This research project identifies and analyzes the causal pathways that lead from climate change to violent conflict.
The project applies a mixture of qualitative methods (such as field work, stakeholder analysis and workshops with policymakers) and quantitative analytical techniques by our innovative HCSS Datalab (causal modelling). By specifying the mechanisms of how climate change interacts with social, economic and political factors to cause conflict, it will contribute to filling a major gap in the environmental security literature.
The project builds on the multiyear award-winning Water Peace and Security (WPS) program. In WPS, an international consortium of research institutes, including The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies, has developed a global forecasting tool for the onset of water-related conflict.
The Global Security Rapid Analysis Fund seeks to provide evidence-based policy and programming recommendations to FCDO and other peace, security and development actors. Through practice-based research the program will analyze and draw lessons from interventions to address conflict drivers implemented by consortium partners and other external actors, in order to generate new understanding, practical lessons and actionable policies.