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News

Ebola: risico’s en capaciteiten gemodelleerd

November 4, 2014

Op dit moment heeft de uitbraak van Ebola wereldwijd de aandacht.De vraag is dan ook of de capaciteit die toegewezen is voor het dempen, terugdringen- en stoppen van de Ebola-uitbraak tijdig en voldoende is.Vanuit die gedachte is binnen HCSS, in samenwerking met onderzoekers van de TU Delft gebruik gemaakt van de innovatieve methodologie Scenario Discovery, in combinatie met een nieuw ontwikkeld infectie-transmissiemodel van het Ebola-virus om te doordenken wat de risico’s zijn en hoeveel bestrijdingscapaciteit nodig is. Het model is momenteel ingesteld op het gebied in westelijk Afrika waar de huidige uitbraak plaatsvindt en dus nog niet voor Nederland.

Het volledige artikel, geschreven door Michel Rademaker en Willem Auping, is rechts te downloaden als PDF. Het verscheen in het Magazine Nationale Veiligheid en Crisibeheersing, nr 5 van 2014. 

In de zomer van 2015 verscheen als onderdeel van de HCSS bijdrage aan de Strategische Monitor, een rapport over de ebola epidemie.

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