The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

HCSS is a knowledge institute that conducts independent research. Our goal is to offer fact-based analysis of the challenges that our societies face in order to inform public discourse, public and private strategic decision making and contribute to international and national security in accordance with liberal democratic values.

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Latest Research

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  • HCSS Publieksmonitor Maatschappelijke Stabiliteit | Hoofdlijnen Zomerpeiling 2026

    Nederlanders geven de maatschappelijke stabiliteit opnieuw een 6,1, maar achter dit stabiele cijfer groeit de maatschappelijke verdeeldheid, blijkt uit de HCSS Publieksmonitor Maatschappelijke Stabiliteit. De nieuwe Zomerpeiling laat zien dat zorgen verschuiven van geopolitieke dreigingen naar binnenlandse spanningen, terwijl migratie het meest bepalende thema blijft. Lees nu de belangrijkste bevindingen en aanbevelingen.

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  • GENOME: A New Geopolitical Event Methodology and Dataset using Large Language Models

    HCSS has won an Honorable Mention at ACL 2026 in San Diego, the world's leading Natural Language Processing conference, for GENOME, a new method that uses Large Language Models to map geopolitical events from global news, capturing both conflict and cooperation with unusual precision. Developed by the HCSS Datalab, the award-winning method is the foundation for what comes next: later this year, HCSS will launch the GENOME platform, a public interface turning global news into a living map of how states interact. Sign up for early access.

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  • Klimaat als strategische factor: Nederlandse Defensie zet koers in onzeker vaarwater

    Klimaatverandering is niet langer uitsluitend een milieuvraagstuk, maar een strategische factor die de inzetbaarheid van krijgsmachten, de veiligheid van logistieke ketens en de stabiliteit van de internationale veiligheidsomgeving direct beïnvloedt. In haar analyse van de onlangs gepubliceerde Defensiestrategie voor Klimaatverandering en Veiligheid, concludeert HCSS analist Laura Birkman dat Nederland een belangrijke stap zet door klimaat als veiligheidsvraagstuk te benaderen. Tegelijkertijd waarschuwt zij dat een solide strategie alleen niet volstaat: zonder concrete uitvoering, robuuste data-infrastructuur en een sterkere nationale verankering dreigt de ambitie achter te blijven bij de werkelijkheid.

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  • Breakdown of the International Order? Strategic Options for Small and Middle Powers

    The international order is fragmenting, but small and middle powers (SMPs) are not powerless. A new HCSS report by Benedetta Girardi, Stephanie Govaerts, Noemie Jacq, Sven Koopmans and Tim Sweijs sets out four strategic options for SMPs and argues that flexible, issue-specific coalitions offer the most promising path for protecting rules, strengthening resilience and shaping future governance. The report also lays out five key recommendations for the governments of SMPs.

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  • Beyond Borders: Chinese Use of Foreign Interference Tactics in Dutch Strategic Industries

    A new HCSS and China Knowledge Network (CKN) report by Benedetta Girardi and Hans Horan examines how Chinese foreign interference affects Dutch strategic industries, including semiconductors, maritime industries, and aerospace. The study finds that interference activities form part of a long-term systemic strategy and calls for a more coordinated, resilience-based approach to protecting Dutch economic and technological security.

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  • Two Agenda’s, One Sea: How security and nature in the North Sea can reinforce each other

    New HCSS study: How can security and nature in the North Sea reinforce one another? In “Two Agendas, One Sea”, Frank Bekkers and Pieter-Jan Vandoren show that closer alignment between maritime security and ecological objectives can deliver tangible benefits. From dual-use sensors to shared monitoring and enforcement, the study identifies practical opportunities for cooperation and outlines how targeted pilot projects can help turn these opportunities into reality.

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Trending Topics

Find out what we are currently working on.

Link to: Europe in the Indo-Pacific

Europe in the Indo-Pacific

The Indo-Pacific region has emerged as the new epicentre of geopolitical competition. Europe has begun its own tilt towards the Indo-Pacific, yet it remains unclear what specific role Europeans should play. HCSS brings together scholars, experts and practitioners across Europe, Asia, as well as East-Africa and the US.

Latest Research
Link to: Strategic Stability: Deterrence and Arms Control

Deterrence and Arms Control

Questions of deterrence and arms control have become more complicated over the past decade, driven by intensified geopolitical competition, by emerging technologies, or refinements in existing technologies. Today, the arms control regime of the Cold War is in trouble. How can Europe shape a reinvigorated arms control regime?

Latest Research
Link to: Initiative on the Future of Transatlantic Relations

Transatlantic Relations

In the HCSS Initiative on the Future of Transatlantic Relations, we study the history and evolution of the transatlantic relationship, looking to understand the deeper ideas and structures behind the changes in the U.S.-European relationship.

Latest Research
Link to: On Future War

On Future War

The nature of war endures, even as its character transforms. Today’s conflicts merge kinetic, connected, and synthetic dimensions. By bridging the perspectives of traditionalists and futurists, we seek to understand both high-tech and low-tech conflict, offering insights that help policymakers navigate an increasingly complex and contested security environment.

Latest Research
Link to: Energy Security

Energy Security

The energy transition is changing the architecture of economies by replacing the traditional fuels with new energy carriers. In this transition period, balancing the conventional energy system with the low-carbon one presents challenges for governments and companies alike. HCSS seeks to understand, analyse and address pressing geo-economic and geopolitical issues induced by the energy transition.

Latest Research
Link to: Nationale Veiligheid en Weerbaarheid

Nationale Veiligheid en Weerbaarheid

HCSS onderzoekt hoe Nederland weerbaar blijft in een tijd van polarisatie, hybride dreigingen, georganiseerde misdaad en internationale spanningen. Met diepgaande analyses voor o.a. de Nederlandse Politie brengen we maatschappelijke kwetsbaarheden, beïnvloeding en lokale veiligheidsdynamieken scherp in beeld.

Latest Research

About The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies

HCSS conducts research on geopolitical, defence & security issues to governments, international institutions and businesses. We combine broad conceptual knowledge, qualitative and quantitative methods and present our findings in the form of recommendations, strategic explorations and scenario analyses.

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News

Catch up with the latest HCSS media appearances, interviews, op-eds, webinars, columns and more.

HCSS Zomerpeiling: stabiel rapportcijfer maskeert groeiende maatschappelijke verdeeldheid, migratie belangrijkste thema

HCSS in the media | Week 30

Strategy: Rethinking European Power | Dr. Tim Sweijs on Europe’s Strategic Future

Expert Analysis | Droneproductie in Nederland vergt meer industriële capaciteit

Podcasts

Strategische Vragen | De Strateeg: Is Trump de grootste bedreiging voor het Arctisch gebied?

De Strateeg: Het grote belang van het Arctisch gebied voor Europa, Trump, Poetin en Xi

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