Geopolitical Annual Trade Risk Index
GATRI – The Geopolitical Annual Trade Risk Index (GATRI) is a metric developed by HCSS in collaboration with WTC to quantify the influence of geopolitical developments on global trade. Designed as a practical tool for policymakers and business leaders, GATRI delivers a single, digestible figure that reflects the annual state of geopolitical stability and its impact on international trade dynamics.
in cooperation with:
Launched with a baseline score of 100 in 2025, the index integrates a diverse range of open-source indicators across economic, military, and diplomatic domains. These include measurable factors such as trade interventions, conflicts, and diplomatic behavior—such as state visits rhetoric and voting patterns within multilateral institutions like the United Nations.
GATRI is updated annually, offering a consistent and comparative reference point over time. An upward shift in the index signals improving geopolitical conditions conducive to trade, while a downward trend indicates rising instability and potential disruptions in the international trade environment.
GATRI Project Team
Jesse Kommandeur
Strategic Analyst
HCSSMaarten Vonk
Data Scientist
HCSSNidas Brandsma
Assistant Analyst
HCSSWe invite organizations and governments to discover how GATRI can enhance their strategic planning and decision-making. If you’re interested in accessing the tool or contributing to its development, please reach out to us at datalab@hcss.nl.