HCSS Strategic Monitor

June 14th 2017 - 09:00

In order to remain on top of the rapid changes in the international environment, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of Defence have tasked The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) to conduct research on global trends and risks, within the framework of the Strategic Monitor. Over the past few years HCSS has provided for on-going analysis of relevant trends and conducted foresight exercises. Please find an overview of all Strategic Monitor reports below. 

For more information about the Strategic Monitor 2018, please click here.

Click on the image to download the PDF.

2016-2017 Volatility and Friction in the Age of Disintermediation                            











2015-2016: The Wheel of Fortune: Up and Down, Round and Round, Faster and Faster 

 The wheel of fortune

2014-2015: The Return of Ghosts Hoped Past? Global Trends in Conflict and Cooperation                                                        

The return of ghosts hoped past                                                                             










2013-2014: Four Strategic Challenges 

 Four Strategic Challenges

2012-2013: De Toekomst in Alle Staten 

De toekomst in alle staten











Other reports part of the StratMon program that focus on specific topics:

2016 Great Power Assertivitis

Great Power Assertivitis











2016 Better Together: Towards a New Cooperation Portfolio for Defense 

Better together











2016 Back to the Brink 

Back to the Brink











2016 Si vis pacem, para utique pacem: individual empowerment, societal resilience and the armed forces












Epidemics and Strategic Timing

Epidemics and strategic timing











Pushing the Boundaries 

Pushing the boundaries











Barbarism and Religion

Barbarism and Religion











From Assertiveness to Aggression 

From assertiveness to aggression













Dr. Tim Sweijs is the Director of Research at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. He is the initiator, creator and author of numerous studies, methodologies, and tools for horizon scanning, early warning, conflict analysis, national security risk assessment, and strategy and capability development. Tim has lectured at universities and military academies around the world. His main research interest concerns the changing character of contemporary conflict. Tim is a Senior Research Fellow at the Netherlands Defence Academy and an Affiliate at the Center for International Strategy, Technology and Policy in the Sam Nunn School of International Affairs at the Georgia Institute of Technology.
Stephan De Spiegeleire is Principal Scientist at HCSS. He has Master’s degrees from the Graduate Institute in Geneva and Columbia University in New York, as well as a C.Phil. degree in Political Science from UCLA. He worked for the RAND Corporation for nearly ten years, interrupted by stints at the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik and the WEU’s Institute for Security Studies. Mr. De Spiegeleire started out as a Soviet specialist, but has since branched out into several fields of international security and defense policy. His current work at HCSS focuses on strategic defense management, security resilience, network-centrism, capabilities-based planning, and the transformation of defense planning.
Frank Bekkers is Director of the Security Program. He studied Applied Mathematics at the University of Amsterdam and spent most of his career at the Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO), specializing in the area of Defence, Safety & Security. At TNO, he held a range of positions, including program manager, senior research scientist, group manager and account director. From 1996-1997, he worked as program manager for Call Media and Intelligent Networks for the telecom company KPN. His current position at HCSS combines shaping HCSS’s portfolio concerning defense and security-related projects with hands-on participation in a number of key projects.
Dr. Willem Theo Oosterveld is a non-resident senior fellow at HCSS. His areas of expertise include the politics of the Middle East, conflict analysis and peacebuilding, as well as law and development. He holds degrees in political science, international law, and history, having studied in Amsterdam, Leiden, Paris and New York, and was a visiting fellow at Harvard University. A former Fulbright scholar, he earned a PhD from the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies in Geneva, Switzerland.