Report

Pushing the Boundaries

June 23rd 2015 - 10:00
With the annexation of Crimea in 2014 by Russia, the idea that territorial conflict is something of the past was suddenly upended. Indeed, it turns out that on closer inspection, it is much more prevalent than is often thought, and plays an important role in explaining many interstate conflicts around the world.

To examine this phenomenon and to reflect on its implications for defense organizations, The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) has produced a report on territorial conflicts taking place worldwide. The report, Pushing the Boundaries, analyses where such conflicts are located, what their attendant factors are and what the triggers are that lead to escalation, for example assessing when ‘frozen conflicts’ could descend into actual violence. This analysis forms part of the Strategic Monitor 2015, commissioned by the Dutch ministries of Defense, Foreign Affairs, and Security and Justice.

The report and the accompanying press release can be downloaded via the buttons on the right. 

Stephan De Spiegeleire is senior scientist at HCSS. He has Master’s degrees from the Graduate Institute in Geneva and Columbia University in New York, as well as a C.Phil. degree in Political Science from UCLA. He worked for the RAND Corporation for nearly ten years, interrupted by stints at the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik and the WEU’s Institute for Security Studies. Mr. De Spiegeleire started out as a Soviet specialist, but has since branched out into several fields of international security and defense policy.

Tim Sweijs is a Senior Strategist. He is the initiator, creator, and author of numerous studies, methodologies, and tools for research projects in horizon scanning, conflict analysis, international and national security risk assessment, and capability development. He has led multicenter research projects for both private and public sector organizations – including the European Commission and various European governments.

Willem Oosterveld is a Strategic Analyst at HCSS. He holds degrees in political science, law and history, having studied in Amsterdam, Leiden, Paris, New York and Harvard. A former Fulbright scholar, he earned a PhD in the history of international law from the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies in Geneva.