HCSS Strategic Monitor

June 14th 2017 - 09:00

In order to remain on top of the rapid changes in the international environment, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Ministry of Defence have tasked The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) to conduct research on global trends and risks, within the framework of the Strategic Monitor. Over the past few years HCSS has provided for on-going analysis of relevant trends and conducted foresight exercises. Please find an overview of all Strategic Monitor reports below. 

For more information about the Strategic Monitor 2018, please click here.

Click on the image to download the PDF.

2016-2017 Volatility and Friction in the Age of Disintermediation                            











2015-2016: The Wheel of Fortune: Up and Down, Round and Round, Faster and Faster 

 The wheel of fortune

2014-2015: The Return of Ghosts Hoped Past? Global Trends in Conflict and Cooperation                                                        

The return of ghosts hoped past                                                                             










2013-2014: Four Strategic Challenges 

 Four Strategic Challenges

2012-2013: De Toekomst in Alle Staten 

De toekomst in alle staten











Other reports part of the StratMon program that focus on specific topics:

2016 Great Power Assertivitis

Great Power Assertivitis











2016 Better Together: Towards a New Cooperation Portfolio for Defense 

Better together











2016 Back to the Brink 

Back to the Brink











2016 Si vis pacem, para utique pacem: individual empowerment, societal resilience and the armed forces












Epidemics and Strategic Timing

Epidemics and strategic timing











Pushing the Boundaries 

Pushing the boundaries











Barbarism and Religion

Barbarism and Religion











From Assertiveness to Aggression 

From assertiveness to aggression













Tim Sweijs is a Senior Strategist. He is the initiator, creator, and author of numerous studies, methodologies, and tools for research projects in horizon scanning, conflict analysis, international and national security risk assessment, and capability development. He has led multicenter research projects for both private and public sector organizations – including the European Commission and various European governments.

Stephan De Spiegeleire is senior scientist at HCSS. He has Master’s degrees from the Graduate Institute in Geneva and Columbia University in New York, as well as a C.Phil. degree in Political Science from UCLA. He worked for the RAND Corporation for nearly ten years, interrupted by stints at the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik and the WEU’s Institute for Security Studies. Mr. De Spiegeleire started out as a Soviet specialist, but has since branched out into several fields of international security and defense policy.

Frank Bekkers is Director of the Security Program. He is also theme leader of the Strategy and Change Program. He studied Applied Mathematics at the University of Amsterdam and spent most of his career at the Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research (TNO), specializing in the area of Defence, Safety & Security. At TNO, he held a range of positions, including program manager, senior research scientist, group manager and account director. From 1996-1997, he worked as program manager for Call Media and Intelligent Networks for the telecom company KPN.

Karlijn Jans is a strategic analyst at HCSS. She holds a Master’s degree in European Studies specializing in German politics from King’s College London and a Master’s degree in European and International Law from Maastricht University. Her geographical expertise includes Europe and the transatlantic sphere. Ms. Jans further specialized in defense and security policies while studying as a visiting student at the Netherlands Defense Academy. Prior to her position at HCSS she worked as a policy advisor at the TNO’s EU office in Brussels. 

Willem Oosterveld is a Strategic Analyst at HCSS. He holds degrees in political science, law and history, having studied in Amsterdam, Leiden, Paris, New York and Harvard. A former Fulbright scholar, he earned a PhD in the history of international law from the Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies in Geneva.