A war lost. Why talking to the Taliban will not save Obamas Afghanistan policy
Column by Sophie Roborgh
(09/01/10) After roughly eight years of US presence in Afghanistan, the Obama administration might be on the verge of a significant change in policy. Having in mind the upcoming Afghanistan policy evaluation in December, and the recent public disposal of General McChrystal for General Petraeus, rumor has it the Administration contemplates starting negotiations with the Taliban. Hopes are up that talks with the extremist movement might offer a way out of the bottomless pit for US tax money, as it now spends approximately 1 million dollar per soldier per year. With no progress on the Middle East peace process and Iran, Obama has made Afghanistan his number one foreign policy priority.
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Regional risk profile
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Millennium Project: 'More than the sum of its parts'
‘More than the sum of its parts’ is a three year project that aims to operationalise a comprehensive approach to interventions in fragile states and to enhance the understanding of what works and what does not. This will be done through the establishment of two web-based ‘Communities of Practice’: for Sudan and Burundi.
HCSS has a strategic partnership with the Speakers Academy. Via this organization, our team members can be booked for lectures and day chairmanships.
In the News
Decadence in the West
Rob de Wijk has written a three part series about decadence in the West.
The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies advises: Pas op de plaats voor DefensieBased on a recent study the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) advises on the subject of the defense budget. To economize on defense means that the Dutch Armed Forces will no longer be able to credibly perform their constitutional functions (protection of interests, promoting and maintaining the international legal order).
Strategy and Change: A Narrative For The Age of MultipolarityThe TNO and The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) programme Strategy & Change analyses global trends in a dynamic world affecting the foundations of our security, welfare and well-being. The programme attempts to answer the critical question : what are the policies and strategies that must be developed to effectively anticipate on these emerging challenges? Strategy & Change provides both a better understanding and feeds the agenda for a sustainable future of our society.
Our fascination with the future is only surpassed by the difficulty we experience in preparing for it. ‘’Strategy’’ is supposed to straddle these two important elements. It is about anticipating the future and defining some desired future state.
Vacancy Strategic Analyst
The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies
The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS) is a spin-off from TNO and founded in 2007 as an independent think tank. HCSS carries out strategic research in the field of security, sustainability, technological innovation and welfare. HCSS works for and with governments, international organizations and corporations, in doing so HCSS supports and gives advice to officials, political decision makers and members of staff at higher management level.Strategy and Technology 10th-11th June 2010 Singapore
The HCSS deputy director will train analysts in Singapore on 10 and 11 June 2010.
HCSS Partner in the EU Sponsored POLINARES Project
HCSS is partner in the EU sponsored POLINARES project. POLINARES examines the global challenges faced with respect to access to oil, gas and mineral resources over the next 20 years and proposes solutions for the various policy actors, including the EU. Combined theoretical and empirical analyses will use expertise from a wide rage of disciplines including political science, economics, geology, engineering, technology, law and security studies.
University of Edinburgh Operational Adaptation Conference 22-24 June 2010
In order to better explore the role of adaptation and counter-adaptation in international security issues the University of Edinburgh will host an Operational Adaptation Conference on 22-24 June 2010.
'Strategy & Change' maps the declining competitive position of the Netherlands
“It is much easier to lose our competitive position in the world than most people realize” (Rob de Wijk, director HCSS)
The Global Challenge of Mineral Scarcity
Conference: Enriching the Planet Empowering Europe Optimising the use of natural resources for a more sustainable economy. A transition to an economy in which energy, food, water and mineral resources are used in a sustainable way so as to protect ecosystems and to combat climate change and loss of biodiversity is perhaps the biggest challenge of our time. HCSS staff members Michel Rademaker and Jaakko Kooroshy published a paper The Global Challenge of Mineral Scarcity for this conference. This essay provides a short overview of key trends in metals demand and supply and discusses the implications of growing metal scarcity for Europe as well as the emerging European policy response.
New NATO Research & Techology GameAs part of the work of a NATO RTO SAS Task Group, HCSS is leading a multinational project assisting TNO in organizing a NATO Disruptive Technology Assessment Game. In the following game a new feature will be introduced. In the week of 12 April this game will be played by military planners, operators, technical analysts, students and extra NGO- participants who will take part in the assessment of future technology solutions. The assessment is about the possible positive and negative effects which conflicts have on stakeholders. Scenarios are played handling a provincial reconstruction team, defending a refugee camp, a non-combatant evacuation operation and the defence of an airport. The participation of the various groups, from seven different countries and multiple institutions, is an attempt for a comprehensive approach in this realm.
The game will be moderated by Michel Rademaker, study director of the NATO Task Group 082.
A New Strategic Concept for NATOHCSS organized a public debate on the future of NATO. Minister of Foreign Affairs Maxime Verhagen gave a keynote speech. Other speakers were prof. Rob de Wijk, director of HCSS, Jeroen van der Veer, vice-chairman of the Group of Experts who will advise the Secretary General on a New Strategic Concept and dr. Bram Boxhoorn, director of the Atlantic Committee. A debate with members of parliament and guests followed.
New Publication: The Security Shakedown of Shared Information.
Social networks have emerged as popular Web 2.0 applications with the ability to influence major events. This has profound implications for the security realm. Social networks pose a growing risk to information security. HCSS reviewed the debate within the security foresight community.This report analyses whether minerals will be scarce in the future and what the security and strategic implications will be. Will states use access to minerals as a strategic resource? Will relations between states change due to scarcity? Will future wars abe fought over minerals rather than oil, territory or water?
Counterinsurgency and counterterrorismWhat can we learn from counterinsurgency for the purposes of domestic counterterrorism? This question serves as the basis for an HCSS report commissioned by the Netherlands Coordinator for Counterterrorism, NCTb. Please access the report here (Dutch only).
In the past, the vast, mostly frozen ocean that forms the Northern-most region of the globe elicited little attention. This has changed dramatically over the past few years. The strategic importance of the Arctic has suddenly become a hot topic.
What impact do economic crises have on security? In this Future Issue, HCSS takes a look at what the scholarly and expert communities think about the consequences of economic crises on international security.
For a history of earlier events, please see our past events archive.
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Security table
Utilising the latest serious gaming techniques at our security table, we are able to provide training, policy and decision support in the field of national security, crisis- and conflict management. Read more on our Security Table website.
Security Foresight
The Security Foresight team of The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies analyses the fast-changing environment in which your company operates today and offers insights in how to anticipate for the challenges of tomorrow. If you want to know more, please visit our Security Foresight website.
Commentaries & Publications
Searching for Historical Evidence of Effects-based Operations in Military Thinking
(Zoltán Jobbágy: article, Aug '10)Digging for victory: how rising powers hold the key to the future
(: article, Aug '10)Strategische lenigheid: Anticiperen op een fundamenteel onzekere toekomst
(Drs. F.F. Bekkers en S.H.A.M. de Spiegeleire MSc: article, Aug '10)EU Sanctions on Iran: The False Dichotomy
(Islam Qasem: article, Aug '10)Whats Truly Scary About Mrs. Palin
(John Hulsman: article, Jul '10)Het Westen wacht een doemscenario
(Rob de Wijk: article, Jul '10)
























